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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.38+5.18vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.92+3.19vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.95+4.74vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+2.39vs Predicted
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5University of Miami1.93+2.94vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.15+3.56vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.77+0.50vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.78+0.33vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.14-1.40vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66-0.75vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.98-2.72vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.19-1.52vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.12-5.04vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin1.60-5.62vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.69-5.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.18Dartmouth College2.3810.5%1st Place
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5.19Yale University2.9214.9%1st Place
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7.74Connecticut College1.955.9%1st Place
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6.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.179.4%1st Place
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7.94University of Miami1.937.1%1st Place
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9.56Tufts University2.153.1%1st Place
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7.5University of Rhode Island1.776.9%1st Place
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8.33Brown University1.785.5%1st Place
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7.6Boston College2.146.5%1st Place
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9.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.664.2%1st Place
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8.28Fordham University1.985.7%1st Place
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10.48University of South Florida1.193.1%1st Place
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7.96Harvard University2.126.3%1st Place
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8.38University of Wisconsin1.605.8%1st Place
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9.23Roger Williams University1.695.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Michels | 10.5% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 14.9% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Walter Henry | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 3.8% |
| Daniel Unangst | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 12.6% |
| Parker Colantuono | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% |
| Robert Hunter | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.5% |
| John Ped | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.2% |
| Porter Kavle | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% |
| Humberto Porrata | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 22.6% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% |
| John Walton | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 12.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.