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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.96+8.84vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.63+5.13vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.64+4.20vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.71+10.47vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston4.05+0.72vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin2.73+4.62vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+2.53vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.39+0.26vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.90+0.93vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida3.49-2.47vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.07+2.32vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.04-2.13vs Predicted
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13Fordham University3.52-5.76vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.20-5.08vs Predicted
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15Stanford University3.72-8.32vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.78-5.55vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia-0.04+1.03vs Predicted
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18Washington College1.63-3.17vs Predicted
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19Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-8.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.84Harvard University2.960.0%1st Place
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7.13University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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7.2Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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14.47Cornell University1.710.0%1st Place
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5.72College of Charleston4.050.1%1st Place
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10.62University of Wisconsin2.730.0%1st Place
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9.53St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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8.26Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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9.93U. S. Naval Academy2.900.0%1st Place
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7.53University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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13.32Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.070.0%1st Place
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9.87Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
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7.24Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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8.92Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
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6.68Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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10.45Eckerd College2.780.0%1st Place
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18.03University of Virginia-0.040.0%1st Place
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14.83Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
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10.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Perdomo | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Adams | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Birmingham | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 10.8% | 17.1% | 23.7% | 8.5% |
| Enrique Arathoon | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Ripkey | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 0.7% |
| John Wallace | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Greg Martinez | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Philip Youngberg | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 0.6% |
| Christopher Stocke | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sean Burke | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 3.8% |
| Alp Rodopman | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Will Holz | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Oliver Toole | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Savoie | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Baez | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 10.4% | 74.0% |
| Alexander Smith | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 14.7% | 25.6% | 9.6% |
| Joseph Paggi | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.