Race 10B

thompson-throphy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

13.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Daniel Unangst 9.7% 8.8% 8.5% 8.6% 8.2% 8.3% 8.1% 8.3% 5.5% 6.8% 6.2% 5.0% 4.2% 1.9% 1.8%
John Ped 3.8% 4.5% 4.2% 5.5% 5.9% 4.8% 5.0% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0% 8.0% 8.1% 8.6% 10.9% 11.1%
Aidan Dennis 6.5% 6.7% 7.2% 6.3% 7.5% 7.2% 6.2% 7.0% 7.6% 7.2% 6.5% 8.0% 6.0% 5.6% 4.3%
William Michels 11.3% 10.6% 9.2% 8.9% 8.3% 7.8% 8.4% 6.9% 6.7% 6.3% 5.2% 4.0% 3.3% 2.1% 1.0%
Dylan Ascencios 5.9% 6.8% 6.9% 7.3% 5.9% 6.8% 7.9% 7.2% 6.5% 7.8% 7.0% 7.1% 6.0% 6.3% 4.7%
Jonathan Bailey 4.8% 5.4% 5.8% 6.0% 6.7% 6.9% 7.1% 6.3% 6.8% 7.2% 7.5% 7.4% 7.8% 7.8% 6.5%
Humberto Porrata 2.8% 2.8% 3.5% 2.9% 4.5% 3.2% 4.2% 5.8% 5.1% 5.9% 7.2% 7.4% 10.5% 11.8% 22.3%
Teddy Nicolosi 14.1% 13.9% 11.1% 12.0% 9.3% 8.2% 6.5% 7.1% 5.9% 3.9% 3.4% 2.1% 1.1% 0.9% 0.4%
Hunter Zonnenberg 5.8% 5.7% 5.9% 6.3% 5.9% 5.7% 6.9% 5.9% 7.4% 7.5% 7.6% 8.6% 7.3% 6.8% 6.6%
John Walton 4.8% 4.9% 4.3% 5.2% 5.4% 5.3% 5.0% 6.2% 6.3% 5.9% 7.5% 7.3% 9.2% 11.2% 11.4%
Robert Hunter 7.2% 6.8% 7.1% 6.2% 8.2% 6.7% 7.7% 6.6% 8.0% 5.8% 6.9% 6.5% 6.6% 6.0% 3.7%
Ansgar Jordan 3.8% 4.5% 4.9% 5.0% 4.3% 5.8% 5.1% 4.6% 6.5% 7.0% 7.7% 8.4% 9.7% 10.0% 12.9%
Parker Colantuono 6.9% 6.8% 6.5% 8.0% 5.7% 8.5% 6.8% 8.0% 8.1% 7.2% 6.2% 6.7% 6.0% 5.3% 3.5%
Walter Henry 7.3% 6.4% 8.3% 5.4% 6.8% 7.9% 7.3% 7.8% 6.9% 6.3% 6.6% 6.9% 6.2% 6.0% 3.9%
Porter Kavle 5.4% 5.5% 6.5% 6.2% 7.3% 7.0% 7.5% 6.4% 6.5% 8.2% 6.4% 6.6% 7.3% 7.4% 5.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.