Race 11B

thompson-throphy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

26.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Ansgar Jordan 4.0% 4.5% 4.5% 4.8% 4.2% 5.6% 6.2% 5.9% 6.2% 6.0% 6.9% 8.3% 9.2% 10.1% 13.6%
John Ped 4.0% 4.2% 4.0% 4.5% 4.8% 5.4% 5.3% 5.8% 6.2% 7.1% 7.8% 9.1% 9.7% 10.8% 11.5%
Robert Hunter 5.9% 6.9% 7.0% 7.2% 8.1% 6.7% 8.2% 7.0% 6.7% 7.0% 7.1% 6.8% 6.2% 5.0% 4.2%
William Michels 10.7% 10.4% 8.8% 9.7% 7.5% 8.3% 7.8% 7.3% 7.3% 5.5% 4.9% 4.5% 4.0% 2.1% 1.1%
Jonathan Bailey 4.6% 5.3% 5.2% 5.9% 6.2% 6.2% 6.8% 6.7% 6.8% 8.6% 7.2% 7.6% 8.5% 7.8% 6.6%
Walter Henry 7.1% 7.1% 7.2% 7.6% 7.5% 7.1% 6.7% 8.0% 6.9% 7.3% 7.0% 6.6% 5.9% 4.7% 3.2%
Dylan Ascencios 5.0% 7.2% 7.1% 6.0% 7.1% 7.0% 6.8% 7.9% 7.3% 8.4% 7.2% 6.3% 6.2% 6.6% 3.9%
Humberto Porrata 3.4% 2.8% 3.0% 3.2% 4.2% 4.5% 4.4% 4.8% 5.3% 5.6% 6.3% 7.3% 9.1% 12.8% 23.2%
Porter Kavle 5.7% 6.1% 6.1% 6.9% 6.6% 6.6% 8.2% 6.6% 6.3% 8.2% 7.3% 7.7% 6.7% 6.7% 4.5%
Hunter Zonnenberg 5.4% 6.0% 7.2% 5.5% 5.5% 6.8% 5.6% 6.2% 7.9% 7.5% 7.4% 6.7% 7.6% 7.9% 6.8%
Daniel Unangst 9.1% 10.3% 9.2% 9.0% 9.7% 8.6% 7.6% 7.3% 6.3% 5.3% 5.4% 4.6% 4.1% 1.9% 1.5%
Teddy Nicolosi 16.1% 13.5% 10.8% 10.8% 10.0% 8.8% 7.7% 6.3% 5.1% 3.1% 2.9% 2.3% 1.7% 0.8% 0.1%
John Walton 4.8% 3.8% 5.0% 4.6% 3.9% 5.9% 5.4% 5.5% 7.3% 6.9% 8.4% 7.4% 8.6% 11.0% 11.6%
Aidan Dennis 6.8% 4.9% 7.1% 7.0% 7.1% 6.0% 6.2% 7.6% 7.0% 7.4% 7.7% 7.3% 6.6% 6.4% 5.0%
Parker Colantuono 7.5% 6.9% 7.5% 7.2% 7.8% 6.4% 7.4% 7.2% 7.4% 5.9% 6.6% 7.4% 6.0% 5.3% 3.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.