← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University2.15+8.58vs Predicted
-
2Boston College2.14+5.69vs Predicted
-
3Fordham University1.98+5.20vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island1.77+3.47vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University1.69+4.28vs Predicted
-
6Brown University1.78+2.58vs Predicted
-
7Connecticut College1.95+0.58vs Predicted
-
8University of Wisconsin1.60+0.41vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University2.12-1.18vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66-0.74vs Predicted
-
11Dartmouth College2.38-4.76vs Predicted
-
12Yale University2.92-6.96vs Predicted
-
13University of South Florida1.19-2.40vs Predicted
-
14University of Miami1.93-6.02vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-8.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.58Tufts University2.153.9%1st Place
-
7.69Boston College2.147.0%1st Place
-
8.2Fordham University1.985.9%1st Place
-
7.47University of Rhode Island1.777.8%1st Place
-
9.28Roger Williams University1.694.0%1st Place
-
8.58Brown University1.785.9%1st Place
-
7.58Connecticut College1.956.8%1st Place
-
8.41University of Wisconsin1.604.7%1st Place
-
7.82Harvard University2.126.8%1st Place
-
9.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.664.2%1st Place
-
6.24Dartmouth College2.3810.1%1st Place
-
5.04Yale University2.9213.2%1st Place
-
10.6University of South Florida1.193.1%1st Place
-
7.98University of Miami1.936.7%1st Place
-
6.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.1710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ansgar Jordan | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 12.2% |
| Robert Hunter | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% |
| Porter Kavle | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.3% |
| Parker Colantuono | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.0% |
| John Walton | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.7% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% |
| Walter Henry | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.2% |
| John Ped | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 12.2% |
| William Michels | 10.1% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 13.2% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Humberto Porrata | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 22.1% |
| Aidan Dennis | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% |
| Daniel Unangst | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.