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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.15+8.44vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.12+5.78vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.69+6.36vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.78+4.30vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.98+3.09vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.14+1.57vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin1.60+1.28vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.19+2.22vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66+0.06vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.77-2.72vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.92-6.14vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-5.83vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.37-3.10vs Predicted
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14University of Miami1.93-6.27vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.38-9.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.44Tufts University2.153.6%1st Place
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7.78Harvard University2.126.1%1st Place
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9.36Roger Williams University1.693.4%1st Place
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8.3Brown University1.784.7%1st Place
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8.09Fordham University1.986.3%1st Place
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7.57Boston College2.147.2%1st Place
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8.28University of Wisconsin1.605.5%1st Place
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10.22University of South Florida1.193.5%1st Place
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9.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.664.7%1st Place
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7.28University of Rhode Island1.778.0%1st Place
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4.86Yale University2.9215.8%1st Place
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6.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.1710.7%1st Place
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9.9Connecticut College1.373.2%1st Place
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7.73University of Miami1.936.9%1st Place
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5.96Dartmouth College2.3810.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ansgar Jordan | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 11.6% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% |
| John Walton | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 11.2% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% |
| Porter Kavle | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% |
| Robert Hunter | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% |
| Humberto Porrata | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 19.1% |
| John Ped | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% |
| Parker Colantuono | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 15.8% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Unangst | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| William Bedford | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 14.9% |
| Aidan Dennis | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.4% |
| William Michels | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.