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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.92+4.00vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.14+5.34vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.60+5.33vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.38+1.98vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+1.07vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.77+1.50vs Predicted
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7University of Miami1.93+0.70vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.69+1.21vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.78-0.70vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.98-1.88vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.12-3.29vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66-2.77vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.37-3.26vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.15-4.49vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.19-4.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.0Yale University2.9214.4%1st Place
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7.34Boston College2.147.4%1st Place
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8.33University of Wisconsin1.605.2%1st Place
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5.98Dartmouth College2.3811.1%1st Place
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6.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.1710.5%1st Place
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7.5University of Rhode Island1.776.8%1st Place
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7.7University of Miami1.937.3%1st Place
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9.21Roger Williams University1.693.9%1st Place
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8.3Brown University1.785.6%1st Place
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8.12Fordham University1.985.7%1st Place
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7.71Harvard University2.126.7%1st Place
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9.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.664.5%1st Place
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9.74Connecticut College1.373.9%1st Place
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9.51Tufts University2.153.9%1st Place
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10.27University of South Florida1.192.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Nicolosi | 14.4% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Robert Hunter | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.3% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.2% |
| William Michels | 11.1% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Daniel Unangst | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% |
| Parker Colantuono | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% |
| Aidan Dennis | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% |
| John Walton | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.8% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% |
| Porter Kavle | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% |
| John Ped | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 9.4% |
| William Bedford | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 14.8% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 12.8% |
| Humberto Porrata | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 19.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.