Race 15B

thompson-throphy

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Teddy Nicolosi 14.9% 12.4% 12.1% 10.1% 9.5% 9.0% 7.5% 6.5% 5.2% 4.0% 3.4% 2.5% 1.9% 0.6% 0.5%
Robert Hunter 7.0% 7.8% 6.2% 6.8% 7.0% 7.3% 7.5% 6.7% 7.1% 7.8% 7.2% 7.1% 6.3% 5.2% 2.9%
William Michels 10.9% 8.8% 9.0% 9.8% 9.7% 8.2% 9.1% 7.6% 6.4% 5.3% 4.9% 4.5% 2.5% 2.1% 1.1%
Walter Henry 6.4% 7.0% 6.2% 8.2% 7.1% 7.9% 7.1% 7.3% 7.0% 7.6% 7.6% 5.8% 6.3% 4.2% 4.3%
John Walton 4.0% 3.8% 4.8% 4.8% 5.0% 5.9% 5.1% 5.9% 5.9% 7.0% 7.8% 8.5% 9.6% 9.9% 12.1%
Daniel Unangst 10.1% 9.7% 11.1% 8.6% 8.2% 7.7% 8.3% 7.0% 7.4% 5.1% 5.5% 3.9% 3.8% 2.6% 0.9%
Hunter Zonnenberg 5.6% 6.9% 5.4% 5.8% 6.1% 5.9% 6.7% 6.4% 7.2% 8.0% 7.4% 7.4% 7.0% 8.3% 5.9%
John Ped 3.6% 5.2% 4.9% 5.5% 5.1% 5.2% 5.8% 6.6% 6.9% 6.7% 6.6% 8.6% 8.8% 10.2% 10.6%
Ansgar Jordan 5.0% 4.5% 4.3% 4.7% 4.2% 4.8% 5.0% 5.1% 5.5% 6.6% 7.7% 8.9% 9.7% 11.5% 12.6%
Parker Colantuono 6.2% 6.2% 6.6% 7.1% 7.2% 7.4% 7.2% 7.4% 7.3% 8.0% 6.3% 5.7% 6.8% 6.2% 4.3%
Porter Kavle 6.5% 6.2% 6.0% 6.5% 7.1% 6.3% 6.6% 7.0% 7.1% 6.4% 7.1% 7.7% 7.3% 6.2% 5.8%
Jonathan Bailey 5.3% 5.2% 6.2% 5.2% 6.7% 6.7% 5.6% 7.1% 6.4% 7.3% 8.2% 8.0% 7.6% 7.5% 7.0%
Aidan Dennis 5.5% 6.5% 7.1% 6.2% 6.3% 6.4% 6.8% 7.5% 7.8% 6.8% 7.5% 7.1% 6.8% 7.2% 4.5%
Humberto Porrata 3.0% 3.2% 3.1% 3.5% 3.9% 4.2% 4.2% 4.7% 6.6% 5.7% 6.5% 7.1% 9.6% 12.1% 22.6%
Dylan Ascencios 6.1% 6.6% 6.9% 7.4% 6.8% 7.0% 7.5% 7.2% 6.2% 7.8% 6.2% 7.2% 6.0% 6.1% 4.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.