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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+5.81vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.58+7.00vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.55+5.99vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.78+0.40vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.45+3.60vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.72+2.37vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.75+0.47vs Predicted
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8Boston College1.58+0.09vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin1.70-0.58vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-5.63vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.89-3.30vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College1.18-2.35vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.44-3.33vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.03-6.70vs Predicted
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15University of Miami0.84-3.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.937.1%1st Place
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9.0Roger Williams University1.584.3%1st Place
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8.99Harvard University1.554.5%1st Place
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4.4University of Rhode Island2.7816.9%1st Place
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8.6Connecticut College1.454.5%1st Place
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8.37Brown University1.725.8%1st Place
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7.47Yale University1.756.1%1st Place
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8.09Boston College1.586.1%1st Place
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8.42University of Wisconsin1.705.1%1st Place
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4.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4817.5%1st Place
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7.7Fordham University1.895.3%1st Place
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9.65Dartmouth College1.184.0%1st Place
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9.67University of South Florida1.443.8%1st Place
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7.3Tufts University2.036.8%1st Place
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11.17University of Miami0.842.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maks Groom | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| George Higham | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.0% |
| Eric Hansen | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 16.9% | 15.9% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Harris Padegs | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.8% |
| Jed Bell | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% |
| Nicholas Davies | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% |
| Libby Redmond | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 3.8% |
| Samuel Bartel | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% |
| Colman Schofield | 17.5% | 15.4% | 14.1% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 13.2% |
| Sydney Monahan | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.9% |
| Alex Fasolo | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Zachary Ward | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 27.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.