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📊 Prediction Accuracy
13.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.78+3.44vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.45+6.63vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.58+5.82vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.72+4.37vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.44+4.57vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.70+2.24vs Predicted
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7Harvard University1.55+2.01vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.03-0.60vs Predicted
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9Boston College1.58-0.99vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-5.46vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-4.11vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.89-4.32vs Predicted
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13Yale University1.75-5.44vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College1.18-4.21vs Predicted
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15University of Miami0.84-3.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.44University of Rhode Island2.7816.8%1st Place
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8.63Connecticut College1.454.2%1st Place
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8.82Roger Williams University1.584.2%1st Place
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8.37Brown University1.725.8%1st Place
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9.57University of South Florida1.443.5%1st Place
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8.24University of Wisconsin1.704.8%1st Place
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9.01Harvard University1.554.0%1st Place
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7.4Tufts University2.037.2%1st Place
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8.01Boston College1.586.0%1st Place
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4.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4816.2%1st Place
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6.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.938.8%1st Place
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7.68Fordham University1.896.5%1st Place
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7.56Yale University1.756.5%1st Place
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9.79Dartmouth College1.183.6%1st Place
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11.03University of Miami0.841.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 16.8% | 16.1% | 14.3% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Harris Padegs | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% |
| George Higham | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% |
| Jed Bell | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 4.8% |
| Sydney Monahan | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 11.2% |
| Samuel Bartel | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.5% |
| Eric Hansen | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% |
| Alex Fasolo | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Libby Redmond | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.6% |
| Colman Schofield | 16.2% | 15.7% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Maks Groom | 8.8% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.4% |
| Nicholas Davies | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 15.6% |
| Zachary Ward | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 13.9% | 26.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.