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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.70+7.31vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.78+2.39vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.75+4.58vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+0.43vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.03+2.15vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.18+3.74vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-0.21vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.44+1.58vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.72-0.66vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.45-1.35vs Predicted
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11Harvard University1.55-1.77vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.89-4.04vs Predicted
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13Boston College1.58-4.95vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.58-5.16vs Predicted
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15University of Miami0.84-4.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.31University of Wisconsin1.705.1%1st Place
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4.39University of Rhode Island2.7816.8%1st Place
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7.58Yale University1.756.9%1st Place
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4.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4816.8%1st Place
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7.15Tufts University2.037.3%1st Place
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9.74Dartmouth College1.183.2%1st Place
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6.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.938.3%1st Place
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9.58University of South Florida1.443.7%1st Place
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8.34Brown University1.724.9%1st Place
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8.65Connecticut College1.455.5%1st Place
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9.23Harvard University1.554.0%1st Place
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7.96Fordham University1.895.2%1st Place
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8.05Boston College1.585.5%1st Place
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8.84Roger Williams University1.584.3%1st Place
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10.96University of Miami0.842.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Bartel | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 16.8% | 14.3% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Davies | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 2.9% |
| Colman Schofield | 16.8% | 15.7% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Fasolo | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 13.5% |
| Maks Groom | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Sydney Monahan | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 10.4% |
| Jed Bell | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% |
| Harris Padegs | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% |
| Eric Hansen | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.6% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% |
| Libby Redmond | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% |
| George Higham | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% |
| Zachary Ward | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 13.8% | 26.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.