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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.70+7.19vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.03+5.25vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.78+1.41vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.72+4.48vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+2.08vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.18+3.61vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-2.62vs Predicted
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8Boston College1.58+0.03vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.75-1.55vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.89-2.00vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.58-2.21vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.45-3.42vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.44-3.38vs Predicted
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14University of Miami0.84-2.81vs Predicted
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15Harvard University1.55-6.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.19University of Wisconsin1.705.9%1st Place
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7.25Tufts University2.035.8%1st Place
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4.41University of Rhode Island2.7817.2%1st Place
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8.48Brown University1.724.9%1st Place
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7.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.937.2%1st Place
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9.61Dartmouth College1.184.2%1st Place
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4.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4818.4%1st Place
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8.03Boston College1.585.1%1st Place
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7.45Yale University1.755.8%1st Place
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8.0Fordham University1.896.0%1st Place
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8.79Roger Williams University1.584.1%1st Place
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8.58Connecticut College1.454.8%1st Place
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9.62University of South Florida1.443.6%1st Place
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11.19University of Miami0.842.4%1st Place
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8.93Harvard University1.554.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Bartel | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.9% |
| Alex Fasolo | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 17.2% | 15.6% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jed Bell | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.4% |
| Maks Groom | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 13.6% |
| Colman Schofield | 18.4% | 15.6% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Libby Redmond | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% |
| Nicholas Davies | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.1% |
| George Higham | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 6.9% |
| Harris Padegs | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% |
| Sydney Monahan | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 12.4% |
| Zachary Ward | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 28.2% |
| Eric Hansen | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.