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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+2.87vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College1.20+6.28vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania3.51-0.42vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+0.65vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute2.29+0.20vs Predicted
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6Columbia University0.40+4.87vs Predicted
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7Queen's University1.10+1.69vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.61-1.05vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.87-2.76vs Predicted
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10University of Buffalo0.75-0.21vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College0.98-2.03vs Predicted
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12Ocean County College0.79-2.36vs Predicted
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13University of Rochester0.09-1.39vs Predicted
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14University of Rochester0.09-2.39vs Predicted
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15U. S. Military Academy-0.32-2.30vs Predicted
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16Syracuse University-0.88-1.95vs Predicted
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17SUNY Stony Brook0.05-5.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.87U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.2%1st Place
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8.28SUNY Maritime College1.200.0%1st Place
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2.58University of Pennsylvania3.510.3%1st Place
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4.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.1%1st Place
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5.2Webb Institute2.290.1%1st Place
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10.87Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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8.69Queen's University1.100.0%1st Place
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6.95Cornell University1.610.0%1st Place
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6.24Fordham University1.870.1%1st Place
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9.79University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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8.97SUNY Maritime College0.980.0%1st Place
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9.64Ocean County College0.790.0%1st Place
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11.61University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
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11.61University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
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12.7U. S. Military Academy-0.320.0%1st Place
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14.05Syracuse University-0.880.0%1st Place
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11.9SUNY Stony Brook0.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Neubelt | 16.7% | 17.2% | 17.1% | 14.0% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Haggerty | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 33.6% | 23.8% | 18.5% | 11.1% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liana Folger | 11.4% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cody Stansky | 9.9% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Maranto | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| Will Jones | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Gimple | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anders Ekholm | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rory Mess | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Liam Murphy | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Liam Boyle | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 9.7% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 9.7% | 0.0% |
| Albert Biddle | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 17.7% | 21.6% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Stege | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 10.1% | 19.4% | 45.2% | 0.0% |
| Cody Murphy | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 15.5% | 16.9% | 10.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.