← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island2.78+3.50vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University2.03+5.36vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+1.45vs Predicted
-
4University of South Florida1.44+5.55vs Predicted
-
5Brown University1.72+3.46vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University1.58+2.85vs Predicted
-
7Connecticut College1.45+1.53vs Predicted
-
8Harvard University1.55+1.00vs Predicted
-
9Boston College1.58-0.93vs Predicted
-
10Fordham University1.89-2.23vs Predicted
-
11University of Wisconsin1.70-2.58vs Predicted
-
12Dartmouth College1.18-2.28vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-6.25vs Predicted
-
14University of Miami0.84-2.97vs Predicted
-
15Yale University1.75-7.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.5University of Rhode Island2.7818.5%1st Place
-
7.36Tufts University2.036.9%1st Place
-
4.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4817.1%1st Place
-
9.55University of South Florida1.443.5%1st Place
-
8.46Brown University1.725.3%1st Place
-
8.85Roger Williams University1.584.0%1st Place
-
8.53Connecticut College1.454.9%1st Place
-
9.0Harvard University1.554.5%1st Place
-
8.07Boston College1.586.5%1st Place
-
7.77Fordham University1.895.2%1st Place
-
8.42University of Wisconsin1.704.7%1st Place
-
9.72Dartmouth College1.183.0%1st Place
-
6.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.937.8%1st Place
-
11.03University of Miami0.841.8%1st Place
-
7.54Yale University1.756.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 18.5% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alex Fasolo | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 17.1% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Monahan | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.4% |
| Jed Bell | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% |
| George Higham | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% |
| Harris Padegs | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% |
| Eric Hansen | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.2% |
| Libby Redmond | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% |
| Samuel Bartel | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 4.9% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 12.7% |
| Maks Groom | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% |
| Zachary Ward | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 14.5% | 26.1% |
| Nicholas Davies | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.