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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Buffalo0.75+8.62vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.87+4.27vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania3.51-0.37vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-0.06vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.61+2.15vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-1.39vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute2.29-1.75vs Predicted
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8Queen's University1.10+0.52vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College0.98-0.02vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College1.20-1.57vs Predicted
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11University of Rochester0.09+0.58vs Predicted
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12Ocean County College0.79-2.38vs Predicted
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13Columbia University0.40-2.21vs Predicted
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14University of Rochester0.09-2.42vs Predicted
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15U. S. Military Academy-0.32-2.32vs Predicted
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16Syracuse University-0.88-1.94vs Predicted
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17SUNY Stony Brook0.05-5.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.62University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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6.27Fordham University1.870.1%1st Place
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2.63University of Pennsylvania3.510.3%1st Place
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3.94U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.2%1st Place
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7.15Cornell University1.610.0%1st Place
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4.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.1%1st Place
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5.25Webb Institute2.290.1%1st Place
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8.52Queen's University1.100.0%1st Place
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8.98SUNY Maritime College0.980.0%1st Place
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8.43SUNY Maritime College1.200.0%1st Place
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11.58University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
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9.62Ocean County College0.790.0%1st Place
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10.79Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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11.58University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
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12.68U. S. Military Academy-0.320.0%1st Place
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14.06Syracuse University-0.880.0%1st Place
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11.87SUNY Stony Brook0.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rory Mess | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Anders Ekholm | 6.2% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 33.0% | 23.6% | 17.8% | 12.3% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Neubelt | 17.0% | 16.9% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Gimple | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liana Folger | 11.1% | 13.9% | 16.1% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cody Stansky | 10.7% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Jones | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Liam Murphy | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Haggerty | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 14.3% | 15.8% | 9.9% | 0.0% |
| Liam Boyle | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Laura Maranto | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 14.3% | 15.8% | 9.9% | 0.0% |
| Albert Biddle | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 10.9% | 14.9% | 17.2% | 21.8% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Stege | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 18.0% | 46.3% | 0.0% |
| Cody Murphy | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 14.9% | 15.8% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.