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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+5.83vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.72+6.29vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+1.44vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.70+4.15vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.03+2.27vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.45+2.61vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.58+2.05vs Predicted
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8Boston College1.58+0.04vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.78-4.51vs Predicted
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10University of Miami0.84+0.97vs Predicted
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11Harvard University1.55-1.90vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College1.18-2.19vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.89-5.15vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.44-4.46vs Predicted
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15Yale University1.75-7.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.937.3%1st Place
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8.29Brown University1.725.1%1st Place
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4.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4815.8%1st Place
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8.15University of Wisconsin1.705.7%1st Place
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7.27Tufts University2.036.4%1st Place
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8.61Connecticut College1.454.3%1st Place
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9.05Roger Williams University1.584.4%1st Place
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8.04Boston College1.585.5%1st Place
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4.49University of Rhode Island2.7818.6%1st Place
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10.97University of Miami0.842.4%1st Place
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9.1Harvard University1.554.1%1st Place
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9.81Dartmouth College1.183.8%1st Place
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7.85Fordham University1.895.6%1st Place
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9.54University of South Florida1.443.9%1st Place
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7.55Yale University1.757.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maks Groom | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Jed Bell | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% |
| Colman Schofield | 15.8% | 17.0% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Bartel | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% |
| Alex Fasolo | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Harris Padegs | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% |
| George Higham | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.9% |
| Libby Redmond | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.2% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 18.6% | 15.2% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Ward | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 25.9% |
| Eric Hansen | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.2% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 13.1% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
| Sydney Monahan | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 11.9% |
| Nicholas Davies | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.