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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.72+7.48vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+2.52vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.03+4.12vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.78+0.51vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.18+4.66vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.45+2.60vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.75+0.37vs Predicted
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8Boston College1.58+0.12vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-2.14vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.58-1.18vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.89-3.10vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.44-2.38vs Predicted
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13Harvard University1.55-3.96vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin1.70-5.61vs Predicted
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15University of Miami0.84-4.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.48Brown University1.725.0%1st Place
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4.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4818.1%1st Place
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7.12Tufts University2.037.5%1st Place
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4.51University of Rhode Island2.7816.5%1st Place
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9.66Dartmouth College1.183.2%1st Place
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8.6Connecticut College1.454.8%1st Place
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7.37Yale University1.756.7%1st Place
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8.12Boston College1.584.9%1st Place
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6.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.937.1%1st Place
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8.82Roger Williams University1.584.9%1st Place
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7.9Fordham University1.896.8%1st Place
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9.62University of South Florida1.442.9%1st Place
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9.04Harvard University1.554.2%1st Place
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8.39University of Wisconsin1.704.9%1st Place
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10.99University of Miami0.842.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jed Bell | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% |
| Colman Schofield | 18.1% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Alex Fasolo | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 16.5% | 15.1% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 12.8% |
| Harris Padegs | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.0% |
| Nicholas Davies | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Libby Redmond | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% |
| Maks Groom | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| George Higham | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% |
| Sydney Monahan | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 11.7% |
| Eric Hansen | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.4% |
| Samuel Bartel | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 4.8% |
| Zachary Ward | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 26.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.