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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+2.72vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.69+4.64vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania3.51-0.50vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+0.54vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.87+1.21vs Predicted
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6University of Buffalo0.75+3.66vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.610.00vs Predicted
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8Queen's University1.10+0.40vs Predicted
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9U. S. Military Academy-0.32+3.63vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College0.98-1.04vs Predicted
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11Columbia University0.40-0.34vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College1.20-3.75vs Predicted
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13University of Rochester0.09-1.44vs Predicted
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14University of Rochester0.09-2.44vs Predicted
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15Ocean County College0.79-5.59vs Predicted
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16Syracuse University-0.88-1.97vs Predicted
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17SUNY Stony Brook0.05-5.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.72U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.2%1st Place
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6.64Webb Institute1.690.1%1st Place
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2.5University of Pennsylvania3.510.3%1st Place
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4.54Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.1%1st Place
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6.21Fordham University1.870.1%1st Place
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9.66University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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7.0Cornell University1.610.1%1st Place
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8.4Queen's University1.100.0%1st Place
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12.63U. S. Military Academy-0.320.0%1st Place
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8.96SUNY Maritime College0.980.0%1st Place
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10.66Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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8.25SUNY Maritime College1.200.0%1st Place
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11.56University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
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11.56University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
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9.41Ocean County College0.790.0%1st Place
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14.03Syracuse University-0.880.0%1st Place
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11.83SUNY Stony Brook0.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Neubelt | 17.6% | 18.9% | 19.0% | 13.1% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Dzinbal | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 35.0% | 23.4% | 18.4% | 11.6% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liana Folger | 11.8% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 14.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anders Ekholm | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rory Mess | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Gimple | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Jones | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Albert Biddle | 0.5% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 14.4% | 20.5% | 19.5% | 0.0% |
| Liam Murphy | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Laura Maranto | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Haggerty | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 9.7% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 9.7% | 0.0% |
| Liam Boyle | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Stege | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 18.7% | 46.9% | 0.0% |
| Cody Murphy | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 18.0% | 10.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.