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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.75+6.41vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.58+6.05vs Predicted
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3University of Miami0.84+7.95vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+2.98vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.03+2.23vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.18+3.79vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.89+0.75vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.78-3.65vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.72-0.64vs Predicted
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10Harvard University1.55-0.94vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin1.70-2.68vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.44-2.49vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.45-4.15vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.58-5.14vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-10.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.41Yale University1.756.0%1st Place
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8.05Boston College1.586.2%1st Place
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10.95University of Miami0.842.2%1st Place
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6.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.937.4%1st Place
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7.23Tufts University2.036.8%1st Place
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9.79Dartmouth College1.183.5%1st Place
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7.75Fordham University1.896.3%1st Place
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4.35University of Rhode Island2.7817.9%1st Place
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8.36Brown University1.725.7%1st Place
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9.06Harvard University1.554.7%1st Place
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8.32University of Wisconsin1.704.6%1st Place
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9.51University of South Florida1.443.8%1st Place
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8.85Connecticut College1.454.7%1st Place
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8.86Roger Williams University1.584.2%1st Place
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4.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4816.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Davies | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Libby Redmond | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% |
| Zachary Ward | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 13.6% | 25.7% |
| Maks Groom | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% |
| Alex Fasolo | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 14.4% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 2.9% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 17.9% | 16.3% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jed Bell | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% |
| Eric Hansen | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.5% |
| Samuel Bartel | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% |
| Sydney Monahan | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 11.9% |
| Harris Padegs | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 7.4% |
| George Higham | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% |
| Colman Schofield | 16.2% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.