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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania3.51+1.48vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+4.06vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.87+3.23vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.61+3.18vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-1.20vs Predicted
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6Queen's University1.10+2.69vs Predicted
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7Columbia University0.40+3.84vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College1.89-1.91vs Predicted
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9Webb Institute1.69-2.24vs Predicted
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10U. S. Military Academy-0.32+2.81vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College1.20-2.73vs Predicted
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12University of Rochester0.09-0.38vs Predicted
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13University of Rochester0.09-1.38vs Predicted
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14University of Buffalo0.75-4.31vs Predicted
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15Ocean County College0.79-5.51vs Predicted
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16SUNY Stony Brook0.05-4.07vs Predicted
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17Syracuse University-0.88-2.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.48University of Pennsylvania3.510.4%1st Place
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6.06Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.1%1st Place
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6.23Fordham University1.870.1%1st Place
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7.18Cornell University1.610.0%1st Place
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3.8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.2%1st Place
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8.69Queen's University1.100.0%1st Place
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10.84Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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6.09SUNY Maritime College1.890.1%1st Place
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6.76Webb Institute1.690.1%1st Place
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12.81U. S. Military Academy-0.320.0%1st Place
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8.27SUNY Maritime College1.200.0%1st Place
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11.62University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
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11.62University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
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9.69University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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9.49Ocean County College0.790.0%1st Place
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11.93SUNY Stony Brook0.050.0%1st Place
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14.05Syracuse University-0.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximiliano Agnese | 35.8% | 26.9% | 15.2% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christine Moloney | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anders Ekholm | 7.0% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Gimple | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Max Neubelt | 16.6% | 18.8% | 18.2% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Jones | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Laura Maranto | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| John Nothacker | 5.9% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Dzinbal | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Albert Biddle | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 11.4% | 15.3% | 20.4% | 21.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Haggerty | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 16.0% | 10.8% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 16.0% | 10.8% | 0.0% |
| Rory Mess | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Liam Boyle | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Cody Murphy | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 16.2% | 15.4% | 11.4% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Stege | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 11.0% | 17.6% | 45.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.