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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.03+6.22vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.72+6.47vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.75+4.44vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.70+4.33vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.89+2.86vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.78-1.50vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.58+1.03vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.45+0.59vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.58-0.12vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-5.57vs Predicted
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11University of Miami0.84+0.11vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.44-2.63vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College1.18-3.19vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-7.16vs Predicted
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15Harvard University1.55-5.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.22Tufts University2.037.1%1st Place
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8.47Brown University1.725.4%1st Place
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7.44Yale University1.756.2%1st Place
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8.33University of Wisconsin1.705.5%1st Place
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7.86Fordham University1.897.3%1st Place
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4.5University of Rhode Island2.7816.2%1st Place
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8.03Boston College1.585.7%1st Place
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8.59Connecticut College1.454.8%1st Place
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8.88Roger Williams University1.583.8%1st Place
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4.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4817.1%1st Place
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11.11University of Miami0.842.1%1st Place
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9.37University of South Florida1.444.0%1st Place
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9.81Dartmouth College1.183.1%1st Place
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6.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.938.0%1st Place
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9.1Harvard University1.553.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Fasolo | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% |
| Jed Bell | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.3% |
| Nicholas Davies | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| Samuel Bartel | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 4.6% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 16.2% | 14.9% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Libby Redmond | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% |
| Harris Padegs | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 5.5% |
| George Higham | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% |
| Colman Schofield | 17.1% | 16.1% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Ward | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 14.4% | 27.3% |
| Sydney Monahan | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 11.3% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 14.4% |
| Maks Groom | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Eric Hansen | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.