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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.97+1.16vs Predicted
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2Penn State University-1.01+3.38vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.13+0.55vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.27-0.05vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.43+1.52vs Predicted
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6American University-0.66-1.53vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-0.08-3.16vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-1.85-1.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.16Virginia Tech0.9740.1%1st Place
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5.38Penn State University-1.015.8%1st Place
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3.55U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.1315.6%1st Place
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3.95William and Mary-0.2711.3%1st Place
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6.52University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.432.9%1st Place
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4.47American University-0.669.2%1st Place
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3.84University of Maryland-0.0811.7%1st Place
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6.13Catholic University of America-1.853.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Bender | 40.1% | 28.3% | 15.8% | 9.6% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Mascia | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 19.2% | 22.8% | 14.3% |
| Robert Finora | 15.6% | 16.6% | 20.0% | 17.2% | 14.8% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 1.6% |
| Meredith Endres | 11.3% | 15.2% | 16.9% | 16.6% | 16.7% | 13.2% | 7.4% | 2.6% |
| John TIS | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 12.4% | 21.4% | 43.5% |
| James Cottage | 9.2% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 16.2% | 18.2% | 16.9% | 10.7% | 5.8% |
| Jared Cohen | 11.7% | 16.2% | 17.2% | 17.5% | 16.8% | 12.1% | 6.7% | 1.9% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 15.2% | 25.4% | 30.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.