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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+5.04vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.87+4.21vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania3.51-0.49vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-0.14vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.61+2.07vs Predicted
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6Queen's University1.10+2.75vs Predicted
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7University of Buffalo0.75+2.84vs Predicted
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8Ocean County College0.87+1.23vs Predicted
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9Columbia University0.40+1.79vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute1.69-3.16vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College1.89-4.79vs Predicted
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12University of Rochester0.09-0.36vs Predicted
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13U. S. Military Academy-0.32-0.23vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College1.20-5.79vs Predicted
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15University of Rochester0.09-3.36vs Predicted
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16Syracuse University-0.88-1.93vs Predicted
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17SUNY Stony Brook0.05-5.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.1%1st Place
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6.21Fordham University1.870.1%1st Place
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2.51University of Pennsylvania3.510.4%1st Place
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3.86U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.2%1st Place
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7.07Cornell University1.610.0%1st Place
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8.75Queen's University1.100.0%1st Place
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9.84University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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9.23Ocean County College0.870.0%1st Place
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10.79Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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6.84Webb Institute1.690.1%1st Place
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6.21SUNY Maritime College1.890.1%1st Place
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11.64University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
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12.77U. S. Military Academy-0.320.0%1st Place
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8.21SUNY Maritime College1.200.0%1st Place
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11.64University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
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14.07Syracuse University-0.880.0%1st Place
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11.95SUNY Stony Brook0.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christine Moloney | 6.7% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Anders Ekholm | 6.7% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 35.5% | 23.6% | 18.4% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Neubelt | 18.0% | 16.3% | 17.1% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Gimple | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Jones | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Rory Mess | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Burke | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Laura Maranto | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Alex Dzinbal | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Nothacker | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 10.9% | 0.0% |
| Albert Biddle | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 16.2% | 20.6% | 19.9% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Haggerty | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 10.9% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Stege | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 18.6% | 46.2% | 0.0% |
| Cody Murphy | 0.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 13.9% | 14.5% | 17.2% | 10.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.