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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.18+8.87vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.45+6.57vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.03+4.14vs Predicted
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4Yale University1.75+3.60vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.78-0.53vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+0.94vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.58+1.84vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.89-0.11vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin1.70-0.73vs Predicted
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10University of Miami0.84+1.12vs Predicted
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11Boston College1.58-3.04vs Predicted
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12Harvard University1.55-2.99vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.72-4.82vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-9.53vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.44-5.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.87Dartmouth College1.183.4%1st Place
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8.57Connecticut College1.454.9%1st Place
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7.14Tufts University2.037.3%1st Place
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7.6Yale University1.755.7%1st Place
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4.47University of Rhode Island2.7817.3%1st Place
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6.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.937.8%1st Place
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8.84Roger Williams University1.584.1%1st Place
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7.89Fordham University1.896.4%1st Place
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8.27University of Wisconsin1.705.1%1st Place
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11.12University of Miami0.842.4%1st Place
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7.96Boston College1.585.9%1st Place
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9.01Harvard University1.553.4%1st Place
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8.18Brown University1.725.4%1st Place
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4.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4817.5%1st Place
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9.67University of South Florida1.443.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Hurley | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 13.9% |
| Harris Padegs | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% |
| Alex Fasolo | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Nicholas Davies | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 17.3% | 15.2% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Maks Groom | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| George Higham | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% |
| Samuel Bartel | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% |
| Zachary Ward | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 27.0% |
| Libby Redmond | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 3.5% |
| Eric Hansen | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% |
| Jed Bell | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% |
| Colman Schofield | 17.5% | 15.3% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sydney Monahan | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 12.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.