Race 11C

thompson-throphy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Colman Schofield 15.2% 13.9% 13.6% 12.4% 10.2% 8.2% 7.9% 5.7% 4.2% 3.5% 1.9% 1.5% 1.2% 0.6% 0.1%
Jed Bell 5.2% 5.1% 5.2% 5.6% 5.8% 6.8% 6.7% 7.0% 8.0% 7.8% 7.7% 8.3% 8.0% 7.0% 5.8%
Alex Fasolo 7.3% 7.9% 7.8% 8.0% 8.2% 7.8% 6.0% 8.1% 7.1% 7.2% 6.4% 6.3% 4.5% 5.0% 2.4%
Eric Hansen 4.2% 5.0% 4.9% 5.5% 6.0% 6.2% 6.2% 6.5% 6.9% 7.6% 6.8% 8.1% 8.6% 9.6% 8.1%
Samuel Bartel 5.5% 5.8% 5.9% 6.0% 6.3% 6.7% 7.4% 7.1% 7.1% 6.7% 8.6% 6.3% 8.4% 6.9% 5.4%
Libby Redmond 5.3% 7.1% 6.1% 7.0% 7.1% 6.1% 7.6% 6.5% 7.0% 8.2% 8.1% 7.6% 6.6% 5.8% 3.9%
Harris Padegs 5.4% 5.2% 5.6% 6.2% 6.0% 5.4% 6.3% 7.0% 6.3% 6.9% 8.5% 8.4% 8.5% 8.0% 6.4%
Nicholas Davies 6.8% 6.0% 6.7% 6.5% 7.3% 7.8% 9.7% 7.8% 6.7% 7.8% 7.3% 6.2% 5.5% 4.9% 3.0%
Nicholas Hurley 4.2% 4.1% 4.3% 4.8% 4.0% 4.5% 5.5% 5.3% 6.1% 6.5% 8.1% 8.1% 10.0% 11.2% 13.2%
Maks Groom 8.9% 7.4% 7.4% 8.2% 8.7% 8.6% 6.6% 8.3% 7.6% 6.4% 5.2% 6.9% 4.4% 3.5% 2.0%
Kerem Erkmen 16.2% 14.3% 14.3% 12.2% 9.7% 9.6% 6.2% 6.0% 4.2% 3.0% 2.3% 1.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.2%
Sydney Monahan 3.8% 4.9% 4.7% 4.0% 4.3% 5.0% 6.1% 6.6% 7.5% 7.0% 7.0% 7.7% 9.6% 10.4% 11.5%
George Higham 4.7% 5.0% 4.8% 5.3% 5.2% 5.6% 7.0% 6.7% 9.0% 7.0% 8.4% 8.1% 8.0% 8.3% 6.9%
Kenneth Corsig 5.5% 6.5% 6.1% 5.3% 7.8% 8.1% 7.2% 7.3% 7.9% 8.5% 6.4% 6.9% 6.8% 5.6% 4.2%
Zachary Ward 1.9% 1.9% 2.5% 2.9% 3.1% 3.8% 3.5% 4.2% 4.5% 5.9% 7.4% 8.6% 9.3% 13.3% 27.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.