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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+2.83vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute2.29+3.23vs Predicted
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3Ocean County College0.87+6.44vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College1.89+2.48vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.87+1.43vs Predicted
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6Queen's University1.10+2.83vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College1.20+1.56vs Predicted
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8University of Buffalo0.75+1.77vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.61-1.82vs Predicted
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10U. S. Military Academy-0.32+2.91vs Predicted
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11University of Rochester0.09+0.69vs Predicted
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12University of Rochester0.09-0.31vs Predicted
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13Syracuse University-0.88+1.00vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook0.05-2.12vs Predicted
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15Columbia University0.40-4.19vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-9.66vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania3.51-14.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.83U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.2%1st Place
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5.23Webb Institute2.290.1%1st Place
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9.44Ocean County College0.870.0%1st Place
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6.48SUNY Maritime College1.890.0%1st Place
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6.43Fordham University1.870.1%1st Place
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8.83Queen's University1.100.0%1st Place
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8.56SUNY Maritime College1.200.0%1st Place
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9.77University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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7.18Cornell University1.610.0%1st Place
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12.91U. S. Military Academy-0.320.0%1st Place
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11.69University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
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11.69University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
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14.0Syracuse University-0.880.0%1st Place
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11.88SUNY Stony Brook0.050.0%1st Place
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10.81Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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6.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.1%1st Place
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2.62University of Pennsylvania3.510.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Neubelt | 17.2% | 18.4% | 15.3% | 16.1% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cody Stansky | 9.4% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Burke | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| John Nothacker | 4.7% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Anders Ekholm | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Will Jones | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Haggerty | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Rory Mess | 1.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Gimple | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Albert Biddle | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 14.0% | 22.6% | 22.3% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 15.6% | 15.4% | 10.6% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 15.6% | 15.4% | 10.6% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Stege | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 17.1% | 44.8% | 0.0% |
| Cody Murphy | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 16.0% | 11.8% | 0.0% |
| Laura Maranto | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Christine Moloney | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 33.7% | 22.7% | 18.6% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.