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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania3.51+1.54vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+1.90vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+3.24vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute2.29+1.33vs Predicted
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5Queen's University1.10+3.78vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.87+0.50vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.61+0.24vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College1.20+0.31vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College1.89-2.71vs Predicted
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10Columbia University0.40+0.97vs Predicted
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11Ocean County College0.87-1.61vs Predicted
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12University of Buffalo0.75-2.17vs Predicted
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13U. S. Military Academy-0.32-0.15vs Predicted
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14University of Rochester0.09-2.31vs Predicted
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15University of Rochester0.09-3.31vs Predicted
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16SUNY Stony Brook0.05-3.97vs Predicted
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17Syracuse University-0.88-2.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.54University of Pennsylvania3.510.4%1st Place
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3.9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.2%1st Place
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6.24Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.1%1st Place
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5.33Webb Institute2.290.1%1st Place
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8.78Queen's University1.100.0%1st Place
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6.5Fordham University1.870.1%1st Place
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7.24Cornell University1.610.0%1st Place
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8.31SUNY Maritime College1.200.0%1st Place
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6.29SUNY Maritime College1.890.1%1st Place
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10.97Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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9.39Ocean County College0.870.0%1st Place
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9.83University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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12.85U. S. Military Academy-0.320.0%1st Place
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11.69University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
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11.69University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
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12.03SUNY Stony Brook0.050.0%1st Place
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14.1Syracuse University-0.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximiliano Agnese | 35.5% | 23.7% | 16.2% | 11.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Neubelt | 18.5% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christine Moloney | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cody Stansky | 7.6% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Jones | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Anders Ekholm | 6.1% | 5.5% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Gimple | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Haggerty | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| John Nothacker | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Laura Maranto | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 10.0% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Burke | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Rory Mess | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Albert Biddle | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 22.5% | 20.7% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 10.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 10.4% | 0.0% |
| Cody Murphy | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 16.7% | 15.6% | 12.2% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Stege | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 9.8% | 20.0% | 45.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.