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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.58+7.89vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.58+6.00vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+3.90vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.89+3.97vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.03+2.06vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.75+1.56vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.78-2.57vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.45+0.70vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.72-0.52vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin1.70-1.75vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-6.64vs Predicted
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12University of Miami0.84-0.86vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College1.18-3.27vs Predicted
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14Harvard University1.55-4.93vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.44-5.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.89Roger Williams University1.584.7%1st Place
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8.0Boston College1.585.7%1st Place
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6.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.937.8%1st Place
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7.97Fordham University1.895.9%1st Place
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7.06Tufts University2.036.7%1st Place
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7.56Yale University1.756.2%1st Place
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4.43University of Rhode Island2.7816.6%1st Place
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8.7Connecticut College1.454.8%1st Place
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8.48Brown University1.725.4%1st Place
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8.25University of Wisconsin1.705.2%1st Place
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4.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4817.8%1st Place
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11.14University of Miami0.842.6%1st Place
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9.73Dartmouth College1.182.7%1st Place
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9.07Harvard University1.554.2%1st Place
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9.46University of South Florida1.443.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Higham | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.7% |
| Libby Redmond | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% |
| Maks Groom | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% |
| Alex Fasolo | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Nicholas Davies | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 16.6% | 15.7% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Harris Padegs | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% |
| Jed Bell | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.1% |
| Samuel Bartel | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 4.8% |
| Colman Schofield | 17.8% | 16.0% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Ward | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 27.5% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 12.3% |
| Eric Hansen | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% |
| Sydney Monahan | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 11.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.