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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+2.87vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.87+4.35vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania3.51-0.41vs Predicted
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4University of Buffalo0.75+5.99vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College1.89+1.33vs Predicted
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6Queen's University1.10+2.83vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute2.29-1.67vs Predicted
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8Ocean County College0.87+1.37vs Predicted
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9Columbia University0.40+1.86vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.61-2.80vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College1.20-2.56vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-5.69vs Predicted
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13University of Rochester0.09-1.26vs Predicted
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14University of Rochester0.09-2.26vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook0.05-3.22vs Predicted
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16U. S. Military Academy-0.32-3.07vs Predicted
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17Syracuse University-0.88-2.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.87U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.2%1st Place
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6.35Fordham University1.870.1%1st Place
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2.59University of Pennsylvania3.510.3%1st Place
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9.99University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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6.33SUNY Maritime College1.890.1%1st Place
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8.83Queen's University1.100.0%1st Place
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5.33Webb Institute2.290.1%1st Place
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9.37Ocean County College0.870.0%1st Place
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10.86Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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7.2Cornell University1.610.0%1st Place
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8.44SUNY Maritime College1.200.0%1st Place
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6.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.1%1st Place
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11.74University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
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11.74University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
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11.78SUNY Stony Brook0.050.0%1st Place
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12.93U. S. Military Academy-0.320.0%1st Place
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14.1Syracuse University-0.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Neubelt | 17.1% | 18.5% | 16.7% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anders Ekholm | 6.1% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 32.9% | 25.1% | 17.0% | 11.9% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rory Mess | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| John Nothacker | 6.3% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Jones | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Cody Stansky | 10.8% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Burke | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Laura Maranto | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 10.2% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Gimple | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Haggerty | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Christine Moloney | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 10.5% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 10.5% | 0.0% |
| Cody Murphy | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 15.8% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 0.0% |
| Albert Biddle | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 22.6% | 22.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Stege | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 19.6% | 45.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.