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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.75+6.57vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.58+5.98vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+3.95vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.72+4.52vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.55+3.99vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.78-1.58vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.89+0.88vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin1.70+0.26vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.58-0.34vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.03-2.73vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-6.42vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.44-2.51vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.45-4.38vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College1.18-4.30vs Predicted
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15University of Miami0.84-3.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.57Yale University1.756.6%1st Place
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7.98Boston College1.585.6%1st Place
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6.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.937.3%1st Place
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8.52Brown University1.724.6%1st Place
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8.99Harvard University1.554.8%1st Place
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4.42University of Rhode Island2.7817.0%1st Place
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7.88Fordham University1.895.5%1st Place
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8.26University of Wisconsin1.706.6%1st Place
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8.66Roger Williams University1.584.8%1st Place
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7.27Tufts University2.036.5%1st Place
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4.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4815.8%1st Place
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9.49University of South Florida1.443.9%1st Place
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8.62Connecticut College1.455.1%1st Place
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9.7Dartmouth College1.183.4%1st Place
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11.11University of Miami0.842.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Davies | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% |
| Libby Redmond | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% |
| Maks Groom | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Jed Bell | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 5.3% |
| Eric Hansen | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 17.0% | 16.8% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% |
| Samuel Bartel | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.8% |
| George Higham | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% |
| Alex Fasolo | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| Colman Schofield | 15.8% | 16.7% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Monahan | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 10.5% |
| Harris Padegs | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 12.7% |
| Zachary Ward | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 28.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.