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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania3.51+1.54vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute2.29+3.20vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.87+3.36vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-0.04vs Predicted
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5University of Buffalo0.75+4.89vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+0.33vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College1.89-0.58vs Predicted
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8University of Rochester0.09+3.63vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.61-1.87vs Predicted
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10Columbia University0.40+0.96vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College1.20-2.57vs Predicted
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12University of Rochester0.09-0.37vs Predicted
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13Ocean County College0.87-3.52vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook0.05-2.07vs Predicted
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15Syracuse University-0.88-1.03vs Predicted
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16U. S. Military Academy-0.32-3.03vs Predicted
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17Queen's University1.10-8.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.54University of Pennsylvania3.510.4%1st Place
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5.2Webb Institute2.290.1%1st Place
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6.36Fordham University1.870.1%1st Place
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3.96U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.2%1st Place
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9.89University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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6.33Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.1%1st Place
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6.42SUNY Maritime College1.890.1%1st Place
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11.63University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
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7.13Cornell University1.610.0%1st Place
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10.96Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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8.43SUNY Maritime College1.200.0%1st Place
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11.63University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
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9.48Ocean County College0.870.0%1st Place
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11.93SUNY Stony Brook0.050.0%1st Place
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13.97Syracuse University-0.880.0%1st Place
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12.97U. S. Military Academy-0.320.0%1st Place
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8.79Queen's University1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximiliano Agnese | 35.5% | 23.8% | 18.2% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cody Stansky | 9.8% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anders Ekholm | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Neubelt | 16.2% | 17.3% | 15.3% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rory Mess | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Christine Moloney | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Nothacker | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 15.0% | 15.9% | 8.8% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Gimple | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Laura Maranto | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Haggerty | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 15.0% | 15.9% | 8.8% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Burke | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Cody Murphy | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 15.5% | 12.4% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Stege | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 11.4% | 16.1% | 45.1% | 0.0% |
| Albert Biddle | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 22.9% | 22.4% | 0.0% |
| Will Jones | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.