← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University2.03+6.17vs Predicted
-
2Yale University1.75+5.52vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University1.58+5.75vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+2.91vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-0.41vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University1.55+3.19vs Predicted
-
7Fordham University1.89+0.73vs Predicted
-
8Dartmouth College1.18+1.71vs Predicted
-
9University of Wisconsin1.70-0.63vs Predicted
-
10University of South Florida1.44-0.47vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island2.78-6.54vs Predicted
-
12Boston College1.58-4.04vs Predicted
-
13Connecticut College1.45-4.39vs Predicted
-
14University of Miami0.84-2.95vs Predicted
-
15Brown University1.72-6.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.17Tufts University2.037.3%1st Place
-
7.52Yale University1.756.5%1st Place
-
8.75Roger Williams University1.585.1%1st Place
-
6.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.938.0%1st Place
-
4.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4816.2%1st Place
-
9.19Harvard University1.553.3%1st Place
-
7.73Fordham University1.895.8%1st Place
-
9.71Dartmouth College1.183.5%1st Place
-
8.37University of Wisconsin1.705.1%1st Place
-
9.53University of South Florida1.443.9%1st Place
-
4.46University of Rhode Island2.7817.0%1st Place
-
7.96Boston College1.586.3%1st Place
-
8.61Connecticut College1.454.7%1st Place
-
11.05University of Miami0.842.5%1st Place
-
8.45Brown University1.724.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Fasolo | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Nicholas Davies | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 2.4% |
| George Higham | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% |
| Maks Groom | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Colman Schofield | 16.2% | 16.1% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Eric Hansen | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 13.4% |
| Samuel Bartel | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% |
| Sydney Monahan | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 12.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 17.0% | 15.6% | 14.2% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Libby Redmond | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.6% |
| Harris Padegs | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 5.9% |
| Zachary Ward | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 26.8% |
| Jed Bell | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.