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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.78+3.50vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.58+6.08vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.89+4.97vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+2.98vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.45+3.69vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.72+2.22vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.58+1.64vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-3.54vs Predicted
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9Harvard University1.55+0.01vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin1.70-1.59vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.44-1.39vs Predicted
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12University of Miami0.84-1.09vs Predicted
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13Yale University1.75-5.58vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College1.18-4.09vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.03-7.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.5University of Rhode Island2.7815.9%1st Place
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8.08Boston College1.585.3%1st Place
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7.97Fordham University1.896.3%1st Place
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6.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.938.7%1st Place
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8.69Connecticut College1.454.8%1st Place
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8.22Brown University1.724.9%1st Place
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8.64Roger Williams University1.584.2%1st Place
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4.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4817.2%1st Place
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9.01Harvard University1.554.5%1st Place
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8.41University of Wisconsin1.705.1%1st Place
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9.61University of South Florida1.443.9%1st Place
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10.91University of Miami0.842.4%1st Place
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7.42Yale University1.757.0%1st Place
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9.91Dartmouth College1.182.9%1st Place
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7.19Tufts University2.037.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 15.9% | 16.6% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Libby Redmond | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.2% |
| Maks Groom | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Harris Padegs | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% |
| Jed Bell | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% |
| George Higham | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% |
| Colman Schofield | 17.2% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Eric Hansen | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 7.8% |
| Samuel Bartel | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% |
| Sydney Monahan | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 11.1% |
| Zachary Ward | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 26.8% |
| Nicholas Davies | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 14.0% |
| Alex Fasolo | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.