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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.75+3.35vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.29+5.05vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+3.14vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.14+5.32vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.25+4.85vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.55-1.08vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13+0.59vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.08-0.39vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.83+1.16vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.18-1.07vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.56-5.19vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.25-3.30vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.48-3.87vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.31-4.25vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.65-4.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.35Dartmouth College2.7517.8%1st Place
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7.05Brown University2.297.0%1st Place
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6.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.039.5%1st Place
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9.32Boston University1.143.4%1st Place
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9.85Tufts University1.253.7%1st Place
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4.92Yale University2.5513.5%1st Place
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7.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.136.0%1st Place
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7.61Harvard University2.085.8%1st Place
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10.16Salve Regina University0.833.1%1st Place
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8.93Northeastern University1.185.0%1st Place
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5.81Boston College2.5611.7%1st Place
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8.7Roger Williams University1.254.3%1st Place
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9.13Bowdoin College1.484.2%1st Place
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9.75University of Vermont1.313.1%1st Place
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10.68Connecticut College0.652.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 17.8% | 17.8% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Belda | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Emily Bornarth | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.2% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 12.2% |
| Emma Cowles | 13.5% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Dana Haig | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Emma Kaneti | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 16.6% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 11.7% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% |
| Grace Gear | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 11.6% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 21.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.