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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.25+7.70vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.75+2.48vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.29+3.65vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.55+0.91vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+1.32vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.48+3.04vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University0.83+3.33vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.14+1.19vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.08-1.24vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13-2.69vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.65-0.39vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.18-3.03vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.56-7.14vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.31-4.09vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.25-5.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.7Roger Williams University1.254.2%1st Place
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4.48Dartmouth College2.7517.2%1st Place
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6.65Brown University2.298.7%1st Place
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4.91Yale University2.5513.2%1st Place
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6.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.039.2%1st Place
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9.04Bowdoin College1.484.5%1st Place
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10.33Salve Regina University0.832.6%1st Place
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9.19Boston University1.144.2%1st Place
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7.76Harvard University2.086.7%1st Place
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7.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.136.6%1st Place
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10.61Connecticut College0.653.1%1st Place
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8.97Northeastern University1.184.3%1st Place
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5.86Boston College2.569.7%1st Place
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9.91University of Vermont1.313.0%1st Place
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9.95Tufts University1.252.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 17.2% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Belda | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Emma Cowles | 13.2% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emily Bornarth | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.2% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 15.0% | 15.4% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% |
| Emma Kaneti | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Dana Haig | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
| Aili Moffet | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 19.9% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Grace Gear | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 13.3% |
| Abbie Carlson | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 13.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.