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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.25+7.78vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.55+2.90vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.48+6.01vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+2.29vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.25+4.73vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.75-1.57vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University0.83+3.23vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.14+1.38vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.56-3.24vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.18-0.79vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.31-1.16vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.29-5.19vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.08-5.38vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13-6.66vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.65-4.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.78Roger Williams University1.254.2%1st Place
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4.9Yale University2.5513.2%1st Place
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9.01Bowdoin College1.484.5%1st Place
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6.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.038.3%1st Place
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9.73Tufts University1.253.2%1st Place
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4.43Dartmouth College2.7515.4%1st Place
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10.23Salve Regina University0.833.2%1st Place
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9.38Boston University1.144.0%1st Place
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5.76Boston College2.5612.3%1st Place
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9.21Northeastern University1.184.1%1st Place
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9.84University of Vermont1.313.1%1st Place
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6.81Brown University2.297.9%1st Place
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7.62Harvard University2.086.8%1st Place
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7.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.137.2%1st Place
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10.67Connecticut College0.652.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 13.2% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.3% |
| Emily Bornarth | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 11.9% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 15.4% | 17.0% | 14.2% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 16.3% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 8.2% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 12.3% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.9% |
| Grace Gear | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 12.2% |
| Olivia Belda | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% |
| Emma Kaneti | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.6% |
| Dana Haig | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 21.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.