← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University2.08+6.72vs Predicted
-
2Yale University2.55+2.98vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College2.75+1.47vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University1.25+4.67vs Predicted
-
5Brown University2.29+1.89vs Predicted
-
6Boston University1.14+3.50vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-0.78vs Predicted
-
8Connecticut College0.65+2.91vs Predicted
-
9Northeastern University1.18+0.02vs Predicted
-
10Boston College2.56-4.27vs Predicted
-
11Bowdoin College1.48-1.96vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont1.31-2.17vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University1.25-3.37vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13-6.65vs Predicted
-
15Salve Regina University0.83-4.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.72Harvard University2.085.0%1st Place
-
4.98Yale University2.5514.1%1st Place
-
4.47Dartmouth College2.7518.6%1st Place
-
8.67Roger Williams University1.254.2%1st Place
-
6.89Brown University2.297.8%1st Place
-
9.5Boston University1.143.1%1st Place
-
6.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.037.8%1st Place
-
10.91Connecticut College0.652.8%1st Place
-
9.02Northeastern University1.183.8%1st Place
-
5.73Boston College2.5610.2%1st Place
-
9.04Bowdoin College1.484.7%1st Place
-
9.83University of Vermont1.313.9%1st Place
-
9.63Tufts University1.253.5%1st Place
-
7.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.136.6%1st Place
-
10.02Salve Regina University0.833.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Kaneti | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Emma Cowles | 14.1% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 18.6% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% |
| Olivia Belda | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 9.2% |
| Emily Bornarth | 7.8% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 21.8% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 10.2% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 9.0% |
| Grace Gear | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 14.0% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 11.6% |
| Dana Haig | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.3% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 13.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.