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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.97+1.08vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.13+1.51vs Predicted
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3Penn State University-1.01+2.28vs Predicted
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4American University-0.66+0.58vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-0.27-0.99vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-1.85+0.19vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-0.08-3.10vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.43-1.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.08Virginia Tech0.9742.1%1st Place
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3.51U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.1315.2%1st Place
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5.28Penn State University-1.016.2%1st Place
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4.58American University-0.667.9%1st Place
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4.01William and Mary-0.2711.6%1st Place
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6.19Catholic University of America-1.852.9%1st Place
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3.9University of Maryland-0.0811.7%1st Place
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6.45University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.432.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Bender | 42.1% | 28.0% | 16.3% | 8.8% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Robert Finora | 15.2% | 18.5% | 19.6% | 17.2% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 4.9% | 1.2% |
| Nathan Mascia | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 14.4% | 17.7% | 22.1% | 13.2% |
| James Cottage | 7.9% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 16.5% | 18.6% | 16.7% | 13.0% | 5.8% |
| Meredith Endres | 11.6% | 13.2% | 17.2% | 16.9% | 16.7% | 14.1% | 7.4% | 3.0% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 23.4% | 32.8% |
| Jared Cohen | 11.7% | 15.4% | 17.9% | 16.1% | 15.8% | 13.6% | 7.0% | 2.5% |
| John TIS | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 12.5% | 21.8% | 41.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.