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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.75+3.50vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.55+2.85vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.56+2.77vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.29+2.83vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.08+2.83vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+0.15vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.25+2.70vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.48+1.08vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.31+0.64vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13-2.48vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.14-1.63vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.18-2.95vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.65-2.17vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.25-5.47vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.83-4.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.5Dartmouth College2.7517.0%1st Place
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4.85Yale University2.5514.5%1st Place
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5.77Boston College2.5610.8%1st Place
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6.83Brown University2.297.0%1st Place
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7.83Harvard University2.086.2%1st Place
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6.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.039.7%1st Place
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9.7Tufts University1.254.0%1st Place
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9.08Bowdoin College1.484.0%1st Place
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9.64University of Vermont1.313.8%1st Place
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7.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.135.9%1st Place
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9.37Boston University1.143.6%1st Place
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9.05Northeastern University1.184.1%1st Place
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10.83Connecticut College0.652.5%1st Place
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8.53Roger Williams University1.254.2%1st Place
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10.36Salve Regina University0.832.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 17.0% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emma Cowles | 14.5% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Olivia Belda | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Emma Kaneti | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Emily Bornarth | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 11.6% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% |
| Grace Gear | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 12.7% |
| Dana Haig | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.4% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 22.2% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 16.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.