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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+1.17vs Predicted
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2The Citadel-0.31+2.30vs Predicted
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3Georgia Institute of Technology1.55-1.01vs Predicted
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4Auburn University-0.78+0.98vs Predicted
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5University of Georgia-1.98+1.29vs Predicted
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6Vanderbilt University0.03-2.15vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-0.48-2.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.17Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.4%1st Place
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4.3The Citadel-0.310.1%1st Place
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1.99Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.4%1st Place
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4.98Auburn University-0.780.0%1st Place
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6.29University of Georgia-1.980.0%1st Place
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3.85Vanderbilt University0.030.1%1st Place
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4.41North Carolina State University-0.480.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Reddaway | 35.2% | 31.6% | 19.4% | 9.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Moe | 6.2% | 8.8% | 14.1% | 22.8% | 22.5% | 18.5% | 7.1% |
| Marten Kendrick | 39.8% | 34.3% | 16.8% | 6.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Brent DeAngelis | 3.3% | 4.4% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 21.3% | 31.5% | 14.5% |
| Benjamin Hicks | 1.1% | 1.0% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 16.2% | 66.3% |
| Lillian Brown | 8.1% | 11.9% | 21.5% | 24.0% | 18.1% | 12.5% | 3.9% |
| Paul Guntner | 6.3% | 8.0% | 13.7% | 17.9% | 26.3% | 19.9% | 7.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.