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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.56+4.71vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.55+2.67vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.14+6.23vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.25+4.76vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.75-0.61vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+0.29vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.25+2.67vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13-0.49vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.48+0.15vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.29-3.01vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.18-1.91vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.08-4.37vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.83-2.85vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.31-3.96vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.65-4.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.71Boston College2.5610.4%1st Place
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4.67Yale University2.5516.2%1st Place
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9.23Boston University1.143.7%1st Place
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8.76Roger Williams University1.254.1%1st Place
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4.39Dartmouth College2.7517.0%1st Place
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6.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.038.5%1st Place
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9.67Tufts University1.254.2%1st Place
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7.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.136.5%1st Place
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9.15Bowdoin College1.484.1%1st Place
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6.99Brown University2.297.1%1st Place
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9.09Northeastern University1.183.5%1st Place
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7.63Harvard University2.086.2%1st Place
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10.15Salve Regina University0.833.5%1st Place
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10.04University of Vermont1.312.3%1st Place
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10.73Connecticut College0.652.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colleen O'Brien | 10.4% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Emma Cowles | 16.2% | 15.0% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 7.8% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 17.0% | 15.7% | 14.4% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bornarth | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 12.7% |
| Dana Haig | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 7.4% |
| Olivia Belda | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.6% |
| Emma Kaneti | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.6% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 13.8% |
| Grace Gear | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 14.1% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 20.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.