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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.75+3.44vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.55+2.78vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.56+2.91vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.14+5.29vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.25+3.55vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.83+4.39vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-0.70vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.08-0.34vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.31+0.70vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.29-2.95vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.65-0.20vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.48-3.06vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.25-3.27vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.18-4.95vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13-7.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.44Dartmouth College2.7516.4%1st Place
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4.78Yale University2.5514.7%1st Place
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5.91Boston College2.5610.1%1st Place
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9.29Boston University1.144.0%1st Place
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8.55Roger Williams University1.255.1%1st Place
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10.39Salve Regina University0.832.4%1st Place
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6.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.039.0%1st Place
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7.66Harvard University2.086.7%1st Place
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9.7University of Vermont1.314.2%1st Place
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7.05Brown University2.297.3%1st Place
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10.8Connecticut College0.652.1%1st Place
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8.94Bowdoin College1.484.5%1st Place
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9.73Tufts University1.252.7%1st Place
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9.05Northeastern University1.184.2%1st Place
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7.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.136.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 16.4% | 16.2% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 14.7% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 10.1% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.7% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.7% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 16.6% |
| Emily Bornarth | 9.0% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Emma Kaneti | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% |
| Grace Gear | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 11.2% |
| Olivia Belda | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 20.4% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% |
| Abbie Carlson | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 12.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% |
| Dana Haig | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.