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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.75+3.37vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+4.38vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.55+1.66vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.29+2.90vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.56+0.71vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.48+3.23vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.14+2.23vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.25+0.79vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13-1.74vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.25-0.15vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.31-1.27vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.08-4.24vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.83-2.64vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.18-4.96vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.65-4.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.37Dartmouth College2.7516.6%1st Place
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6.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.039.2%1st Place
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4.66Yale University2.5517.4%1st Place
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6.9Brown University2.297.6%1st Place
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5.71Boston College2.5610.2%1st Place
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9.23Bowdoin College1.483.5%1st Place
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9.23Boston University1.144.0%1st Place
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8.79Roger Williams University1.254.0%1st Place
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7.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.136.2%1st Place
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9.85Tufts University1.253.0%1st Place
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9.73University of Vermont1.313.1%1st Place
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7.76Harvard University2.086.0%1st Place
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10.36Salve Regina University0.832.4%1st Place
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9.04Northeastern University1.184.6%1st Place
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10.75Connecticut College0.652.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 16.6% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emily Bornarth | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Emma Cowles | 17.4% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Belda | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Ellie Maus | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.4% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.4% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% |
| Dana Haig | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 11.9% |
| Grace Gear | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 11.9% |
| Emma Kaneti | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 16.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 21.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.