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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+5.27vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.55+2.66vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.25+6.56vs Predicted
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42.13+3.38vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.75-0.71vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.29+0.79vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.56-1.29vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.48+1.00vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.08-1.42vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.14-0.75vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.18-2.09vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.19+0.28vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.83-3.05vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.25-5.42vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.31-5.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.039.6%1st Place
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4.66Yale University2.5515.7%1st Place
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9.56Tufts University1.253.3%1st Place
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7.382.135.7%1st Place
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4.29Dartmouth College2.7517.3%1st Place
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6.79Brown University2.296.8%1st Place
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5.71Boston College2.5611.3%1st Place
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9.0Bowdoin College1.484.1%1st Place
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7.58Harvard University2.085.9%1st Place
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9.25Boston University1.144.2%1st Place
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8.91Northeastern University1.184.3%1st Place
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12.28Connecticut College0.191.5%1st Place
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9.95Salve Regina University0.832.6%1st Place
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8.58Roger Williams University1.254.9%1st Place
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9.78University of Vermont1.312.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Bornarth | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Emma Cowles | 15.7% | 15.4% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 8.9% |
| Dana Haig | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 17.3% | 15.7% | 14.9% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Belda | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 11.3% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 5.1% |
| Emma Kaneti | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 7.6% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 5.6% |
| Miya Preyer | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 14.8% | 40.8% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 11.2% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% |
| Grace Gear | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.