Race 10A

neisa-women

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Maddie Hawkins 18.8% 15.4% 13.2% 11.2% 9.7% 9.4% 7.6% 5.3% 3.3% 2.5% 1.5% 1.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.2%
Dana Haig 6.7% 7.2% 7.1% 7.8% 7.5% 8.6% 8.0% 8.0% 7.2% 7.8% 7.5% 6.0% 5.1% 3.5% 1.8%
Emily Bornarth 9.0% 7.6% 10.3% 8.6% 9.2% 8.8% 8.4% 8.1% 7.2% 8.6% 5.8% 4.6% 2.4% 1.1% 0.3%
Emma Cowles 15.0% 14.7% 11.8% 12.0% 10.4% 8.4% 7.0% 6.5% 5.7% 3.2% 2.7% 1.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1%
Abbie Carlson 3.8% 3.3% 4.0% 3.8% 4.5% 4.2% 5.7% 5.9% 7.4% 7.8% 8.0% 9.3% 11.4% 12.0% 9.0%
Tiare Sierra 4.2% 4.0% 4.0% 4.9% 4.5% 5.5% 5.9% 6.3% 7.1% 8.1% 9.0% 9.3% 10.0% 10.1% 7.2%
Emma Kaneti 5.7% 6.9% 6.2% 7.9% 7.8% 6.5% 7.5% 8.9% 9.1% 7.1% 7.5% 7.2% 5.4% 4.2% 2.1%
Ellie Maus 3.5% 4.7% 4.2% 5.3% 5.3% 6.9% 7.4% 6.2% 7.4% 7.2% 8.0% 9.7% 8.8% 9.6% 5.8%
Olivia Belda 8.3% 7.8% 8.3% 7.8% 8.2% 8.2% 8.9% 7.9% 7.8% 7.4% 7.2% 4.9% 3.9% 2.2% 1.0%
Miya Preyer 2.2% 1.6% 1.4% 2.1% 1.8% 2.0% 3.1% 3.1% 3.4% 4.5% 5.6% 6.8% 8.5% 14.5% 39.4%
Colleen O'Brien 9.4% 10.9% 11.1% 10.4% 10.4% 10.2% 8.1% 8.3% 6.2% 5.9% 3.5% 2.5% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
Claire Siegel-Wilson 3.5% 5.8% 6.3% 6.0% 6.9% 5.8% 6.1% 6.7% 7.8% 8.3% 8.7% 6.8% 9.2% 7.8% 4.5%
Lucia Loosbrock 3.5% 4.4% 4.6% 5.2% 5.1% 6.0% 5.5% 7.3% 6.9% 7.5% 7.3% 10.1% 11.3% 8.6% 6.4%
Pearl Lattanzi 2.7% 2.1% 3.0% 3.5% 4.2% 4.5% 5.2% 4.9% 5.9% 6.9% 9.2% 9.8% 10.2% 14.1% 13.8%
Grace Gear 3.5% 3.5% 4.3% 3.6% 4.5% 5.1% 5.3% 6.7% 7.6% 7.0% 8.4% 10.9% 10.0% 11.1% 8.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.