Race 11A

neisa-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Emma Kaneti 5.9% 6.4% 6.4% 7.5% 8.2% 7.6% 8.5% 9.1% 9.0% 8.1% 8.5% 7.1% 5.4% 2.2%
Emma Cowles 15.6% 15.7% 11.8% 11.6% 9.8% 9.9% 7.0% 6.3% 5.2% 3.1% 2.1% 1.4% 0.6% 0.1%
Dana Haig 7.0% 6.8% 7.5% 9.0% 7.8% 8.6% 9.2% 9.2% 8.6% 7.1% 7.3% 5.8% 4.5% 1.7%
Maddie Hawkins 16.9% 14.9% 15.7% 13.2% 10.7% 8.4% 7.0% 4.7% 4.0% 2.4% 1.4% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Olivia Belda 8.2% 8.3% 7.6% 8.9% 9.2% 8.5% 9.1% 10.0% 7.9% 7.3% 6.3% 4.7% 2.9% 1.2%
Tiare Sierra 4.5% 3.5% 4.6% 5.1% 5.0% 5.9% 6.6% 7.1% 8.2% 9.6% 9.8% 10.8% 10.7% 8.9%
Claire Siegel-Wilson 4.3% 4.9% 5.6% 6.3% 6.3% 6.9% 7.5% 7.5% 8.4% 9.0% 9.9% 9.2% 8.9% 5.2%
Grace Gear 3.3% 3.9% 4.0% 4.2% 5.1% 5.0% 5.5% 6.1% 7.4% 8.5% 10.2% 10.3% 14.3% 12.3%
Colleen O'Brien 11.9% 11.9% 11.2% 9.9% 9.6% 9.4% 8.5% 7.8% 5.3% 6.8% 3.6% 2.5% 1.4% 0.2%
Lucia Loosbrock 5.1% 4.4% 4.4% 4.9% 5.8% 6.0% 7.1% 7.3% 7.8% 9.4% 9.6% 11.8% 9.8% 6.5%
Abbie Carlson 3.2% 3.9% 3.8% 4.0% 4.2% 5.9% 6.0% 6.6% 7.3% 9.0% 10.3% 12.3% 12.4% 11.0%
Ellie Maus 4.2% 3.6% 4.7% 5.5% 5.5% 6.3% 7.0% 6.5% 7.8% 8.8% 10.7% 11.0% 11.6% 7.0%
Emily Bornarth 8.6% 10.7% 10.8% 8.1% 10.3% 8.8% 9.3% 8.8% 8.9% 6.5% 4.3% 2.7% 1.4% 0.8%
Miya Preyer 1.1% 1.4% 1.9% 1.8% 2.6% 2.9% 1.9% 3.0% 4.0% 4.4% 6.1% 9.9% 16.2% 42.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.