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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.75+3.26vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.55+2.63vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.08+4.38vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+1.92vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.29+1.67vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.14+2.70vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.56-1.52vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College0.19+3.54vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.18-0.54vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.25-1.88vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.25-1.83vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.48-3.50vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.31-3.83vs Predicted
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142.13-7.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.26Dartmouth College2.7518.1%1st Place
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4.63Yale University2.5514.1%1st Place
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7.38Harvard University2.085.9%1st Place
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5.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.039.4%1st Place
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6.67Brown University2.297.4%1st Place
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8.7Boston University1.144.1%1st Place
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5.48Boston College2.5611.2%1st Place
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11.54Connecticut College0.192.1%1st Place
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8.46Northeastern University1.184.9%1st Place
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8.12Roger Williams University1.255.8%1st Place
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9.17Tufts University1.253.5%1st Place
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8.5Bowdoin College1.484.0%1st Place
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9.17University of Vermont1.313.4%1st Place
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6.992.136.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 18.1% | 15.7% | 14.9% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 14.1% | 15.3% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Emma Kaneti | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.1% |
| Emily Bornarth | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Olivia Belda | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 8.4% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 11.2% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Miya Preyer | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 15.2% | 43.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 7.1% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 4.8% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 11.8% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 6.8% |
| Grace Gear | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 10.7% |
| Dana Haig | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.