Race 1A

providence-invite

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Kayla Ellis 12.6% 12.7% 13.4% 14.5% 13.5% 12.8% 9.3% 5.5% 4.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Becker Awqatty 10.1% 13.5% 13.3% 12.9% 12.4% 11.8% 10.5% 8.2% 5.7% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick 29.5% 22.1% 16.1% 12.9% 9.6% 4.8% 3.1% 0.9% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Solomon Krevans 7.8% 9.4% 10.5% 12.3% 12.8% 12.2% 11.9% 10.9% 8.4% 3.0% 0.6% 0.2%
Scott Booth 11.3% 13.4% 13.9% 13.0% 11.3% 10.6% 11.1% 7.4% 4.9% 2.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Ryan Morrison 13.7% 13.2% 15.6% 13.6% 11.9% 12.0% 9.3% 6.0% 3.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Ryan Novak-Smith 3.1% 3.3% 3.1% 3.9% 6.8% 7.6% 8.0% 13.1% 15.8% 17.6% 12.1% 5.6%
Paige Fagan 2.3% 2.7% 2.5% 4.2% 4.6% 5.0% 7.9% 10.0% 14.6% 18.3% 20.5% 7.4%
Lewis Fowler-Gerace 4.2% 3.2% 5.4% 7.1% 8.7% 11.6% 12.2% 15.4% 13.4% 12.6% 5.3% 0.9%
Matthew Miranda 3.8% 4.2% 4.3% 3.9% 5.6% 7.6% 9.5% 14.4% 16.3% 16.5% 10.7% 3.2%
Kate Andrews 1.1% 1.3% 1.2% 0.7% 1.7% 2.4% 4.1% 4.8% 7.7% 15.5% 26.9% 32.6%
David Tampellini 0.5% 1.0% 0.7% 1.0% 1.1% 1.6% 3.1% 3.4% 5.0% 10.0% 22.5% 50.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.