Race 2A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Kayla Ellis 13.0% 13.1% 12.5% 14.0% 14.8% 10.9% 9.1% 6.9% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick 28.1% 23.4% 16.4% 12.7% 8.6% 5.7% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Becker Awqatty 11.9% 11.4% 13.7% 12.3% 12.3% 12.9% 11.5% 7.8% 3.7% 2.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Morrison 13.6% 14.3% 15.3% 13.9% 13.1% 11.3% 7.7% 6.2% 3.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Scott Booth 12.2% 12.1% 14.6% 13.6% 11.4% 11.9% 10.0% 6.8% 3.9% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1%
Solomon Krevans 8.6% 11.0% 9.5% 11.6% 12.2% 12.0% 13.0% 9.5% 8.1% 2.9% 1.6% 0.0%
Paige Fagan 1.8% 3.6% 3.0% 3.3% 3.9% 5.9% 7.9% 11.4% 13.6% 19.9% 17.7% 8.0%
Lewis Fowler-Gerace 5.0% 4.2% 6.2% 6.2% 7.8% 9.9% 11.7% 14.2% 15.7% 10.9% 5.2% 3.0%
Ryan Novak-Smith 2.1% 2.3% 3.7% 4.0% 5.2% 8.1% 9.7% 15.1% 16.2% 17.5% 13.1% 3.0%
Kate Andrews 0.5% 1.2% 1.0% 3.0% 1.8% 2.7% 2.9% 5.9% 9.5% 13.5% 28.0% 30.0%
Matthew Miranda 2.8% 2.4% 3.3% 4.7% 7.2% 7.1% 10.0% 11.7% 17.5% 16.4% 11.8% 5.1%
David Tampellini 0.4% 1.0% 0.8% 0.7% 1.7% 1.6% 3.0% 3.3% 4.0% 11.3% 21.4% 50.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.