Race 13A

neisa-women

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Colleen O'Brien 10.9% 12.3% 10.4% 9.4% 11.2% 9.1% 8.8% 7.9% 5.9% 5.5% 3.8% 3.1% 0.9% 0.7%
Maddie Hawkins 17.2% 15.3% 13.8% 13.2% 11.6% 8.6% 6.5% 5.0% 3.7% 2.4% 1.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2%
Ellie Maus 4.2% 4.2% 4.9% 4.5% 5.8% 6.4% 6.6% 7.8% 8.8% 9.1% 9.6% 10.2% 11.9% 5.9%
Olivia Belda 9.0% 7.8% 8.5% 8.2% 8.3% 8.6% 9.1% 8.8% 8.3% 7.0% 6.0% 6.2% 2.9% 1.3%
Claire Siegel-Wilson 4.5% 4.8% 5.8% 5.3% 5.5% 7.5% 7.7% 7.6% 8.3% 10.0% 8.8% 9.8% 8.8% 5.6%
Tiare Sierra 3.8% 3.8% 4.9% 5.3% 5.3% 5.5% 6.5% 6.8% 8.2% 9.4% 10.6% 11.3% 10.9% 7.5%
Emily Bornarth 9.1% 10.4% 9.8% 10.1% 9.3% 8.3% 9.0% 7.1% 8.0% 6.5% 6.2% 3.2% 2.5% 0.5%
Emma Kaneti 5.8% 7.1% 6.4% 7.8% 7.4% 8.8% 7.5% 8.3% 8.3% 8.5% 8.1% 7.3% 6.0% 2.5%
Emma Cowles 15.5% 14.1% 14.2% 10.6% 9.7% 9.9% 7.8% 6.2% 4.5% 3.6% 1.8% 1.5% 0.7% 0.0%
Dana Haig 6.2% 7.2% 7.1% 7.9% 8.1% 8.6% 8.6% 8.9% 9.0% 7.3% 8.6% 6.2% 4.5% 1.9%
Lucia Loosbrock 5.3% 4.3% 4.8% 6.0% 5.1% 5.8% 7.0% 8.3% 7.1% 8.8% 10.3% 10.2% 9.8% 7.1%
Grace Gear 3.4% 3.5% 3.4% 5.1% 5.6% 5.5% 6.5% 5.9% 7.5% 7.7% 9.6% 10.9% 13.8% 11.7%
Miya Preyer 1.7% 2.2% 1.8% 2.1% 1.7% 1.8% 2.7% 3.8% 4.0% 5.9% 5.9% 8.8% 14.1% 43.5%
Abbie Carlson 3.5% 3.0% 4.2% 4.4% 5.5% 5.7% 5.8% 7.5% 8.2% 8.3% 9.2% 10.7% 12.7% 11.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.