Race 3A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick 26.7% 21.7% 19.2% 12.6% 9.7% 4.7% 2.6% 2.0% 0.7% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Lewis Fowler-Gerace 3.5% 4.9% 4.6% 6.9% 8.2% 9.3% 12.4% 13.6% 15.6% 13.3% 5.7% 2.0%
Paige Fagan 2.6% 2.5% 2.2% 4.3% 3.6% 7.7% 6.0% 10.5% 15.4% 20.2% 17.7% 7.3%
Becker Awqatty 10.0% 12.5% 13.9% 13.8% 12.5% 11.8% 11.2% 7.7% 4.2% 1.5% 0.9% 0.0%
Ryan Morrison 13.4% 15.6% 13.8% 12.6% 14.5% 10.5% 9.0% 5.3% 3.4% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Scott Booth 12.2% 11.6% 12.9% 13.1% 12.7% 12.5% 11.5% 6.7% 4.3% 2.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Solomon Krevans 9.5% 9.7% 10.2% 12.2% 11.7% 12.6% 11.7% 10.1% 6.5% 3.9% 1.6% 0.3%
Kayla Ellis 14.9% 13.4% 14.2% 12.1% 13.0% 11.0% 10.2% 5.7% 3.4% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Matthew Miranda 2.4% 3.0% 3.6% 5.5% 7.0% 9.0% 10.9% 13.8% 17.8% 14.8% 10.1% 2.1%
Ryan Novak-Smith 3.1% 2.8% 3.5% 4.4% 4.9% 7.4% 9.1% 14.1% 13.8% 18.1% 13.4% 5.4%
David Tampellini 0.9% 1.0% 0.6% 1.1% 0.7% 1.2% 2.1% 4.4% 6.3% 9.2% 21.2% 51.3%
Kate Andrews 0.8% 1.3% 1.3% 1.4% 1.5% 2.3% 3.3% 6.1% 8.6% 13.8% 28.2% 31.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.