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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.97+0.83vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland-0.85+2.18vs Predicted
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3American University-0.86+1.05vs Predicted
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4Penn State University-0.91+0.37vs Predicted
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5Catholic University of America-1.92+1.04vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.36+0.60vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-1.76-1.24vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-4.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.83Virginia Tech0.9750.9%1st Place
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4.18University of Maryland-0.858.1%1st Place
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4.05American University-0.8610.0%1st Place
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4.37Penn State University-0.917.5%1st Place
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6.04Catholic University of America-1.922.2%1st Place
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6.6University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.361.6%1st Place
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5.76William and Mary-1.763.4%1st Place
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3.18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.1516.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Bender | 50.9% | 27.5% | 12.7% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 8.1% | 12.8% | 16.4% | 18.7% | 18.0% | 14.8% | 8.3% | 2.9% |
| Hannah Arey | 10.0% | 14.4% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 18.5% | 13.4% | 8.8% | 2.1% |
| Erich Laughlin | 7.5% | 10.8% | 15.0% | 18.4% | 18.6% | 16.0% | 9.2% | 4.4% |
| Christian Aron | 2.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 16.4% | 25.6% | 25.9% |
| Grace Hartman | 1.6% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 21.8% | 44.1% |
| Sebastian Morales-Talero | 3.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 20.3% | 23.7% | 20.2% |
| Langdon Wallace | 16.3% | 22.4% | 22.7% | 16.8% | 12.0% | 6.8% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.