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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13+6.06vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.08+5.19vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.56+2.44vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.75+0.22vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.25+3.20vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-0.14vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.29-0.55vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.25+1.35vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.19+2.58vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.48-1.55vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.14-2.11vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.18-3.33vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.31-3.89vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.55-9.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.136.6%1st Place
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7.19Harvard University2.086.2%1st Place
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5.44Boston College2.5612.6%1st Place
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4.22Dartmouth College2.7517.2%1st Place
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8.2Roger Williams University1.254.9%1st Place
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5.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.0310.1%1st Place
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6.45Brown University2.297.8%1st Place
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9.35Tufts University1.253.4%1st Place
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11.58Connecticut College0.191.1%1st Place
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8.45Bowdoin College1.483.5%1st Place
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8.89Boston University1.143.9%1st Place
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8.67Northeastern University1.184.2%1st Place
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9.11University of Vermont1.313.2%1st Place
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4.53Yale University2.5515.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dana Haig | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
Emma Kaneti | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 2.5% |
Colleen O'Brien | 12.6% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
Maddie Hawkins | 17.2% | 14.9% | 14.4% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 5.9% |
Emily Bornarth | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
Olivia Belda | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
Abbie Carlson | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 11.2% |
Miya Preyer | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 16.3% | 42.3% |
Ellie Maus | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 5.9% |
Tiare Sierra | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 9.0% |
Lucia Loosbrock | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 7.8% |
Grace Gear | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 11.2% |
Emma Cowles | 15.6% | 14.7% | 15.2% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.