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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.51+3.63vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.38+0.88vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.48+1.67vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.67+0.23vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-1.64vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.22-1.73vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.00-0.08vs Predicted
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9McGill University-0.05+0.98vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire0.76-1.48vs Predicted
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11Sacred Heart University-0.43-0.42vs Predicted
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12Wesleyan University1.45-4.79vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.15-6.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.63Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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2.88Brown University3.380.3%1st Place
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4.67Northeastern University2.480.1%1st Place
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4.23Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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4.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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5.27Tufts University2.220.1%1st Place
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7.92Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.000.0%1st Place
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9.98McGill University-0.050.0%1st Place
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8.52University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
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10.58Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
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7.21Wesleyan University1.450.0%1st Place
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7.75Salve Regina University1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Booth | 12.1% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 28.0% | 22.6% | 18.4% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Becker Awqatty | 11.9% | 10.9% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Morrison | 13.6% | 14.4% | 16.5% | 11.3% | 15.4% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 13.1% | 14.0% | 14.4% | 15.0% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Solomon Krevans | 8.9% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Novak-Smith | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 14.9% | 17.3% | 13.5% | 5.1% |
| Kate Andrews | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 13.0% | 28.8% | 30.0% |
| Paige Fagan | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 12.4% | 15.5% | 20.6% | 16.3% | 7.5% |
| David Tampellini | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 10.4% | 20.5% | 50.1% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 16.2% | 11.8% | 7.4% | 2.9% |
| Matthew Miranda | 2.9% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 16.3% | 16.2% | 11.1% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.