Race 5A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick 27.9% 22.2% 18.6% 12.6% 8.8% 4.5% 3.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Becker Awqatty 10.1% 13.6% 13.1% 13.2% 13.9% 11.9% 9.7% 8.2% 4.0% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Kayla Ellis 13.7% 12.8% 14.2% 12.5% 12.9% 12.1% 11.3% 5.9% 3.0% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Scott Booth 11.1% 13.1% 12.9% 13.0% 13.1% 13.8% 9.0% 7.7% 3.9% 1.8% 0.6% 0.0%
Ryan Morrison 14.7% 13.5% 14.6% 13.3% 13.5% 11.5% 7.9% 5.9% 3.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Lewis Fowler-Gerace 4.0% 3.9% 6.0% 7.4% 7.0% 8.8% 10.6% 15.8% 16.3% 10.3% 8.1% 1.8%
Solomon Krevans 10.4% 9.5% 9.6% 12.8% 11.1% 13.3% 13.1% 8.9% 6.7% 3.1% 1.3% 0.2%
Ryan Novak-Smith 1.9% 4.4% 3.3% 4.5% 4.6% 7.0% 10.5% 12.3% 15.5% 18.1% 12.7% 5.2%
Paige Fagan 1.7% 1.8% 2.0% 3.4% 4.3% 5.9% 9.9% 10.7% 16.4% 20.0% 17.7% 6.2%
Kate Andrews 0.6% 0.8% 1.7% 2.3% 2.7% 2.0% 2.8% 5.7% 7.7% 15.8% 26.3% 31.6%
David Tampellini 0.9% 0.7% 0.7% 0.8% 1.2% 1.7% 2.2% 3.7% 5.5% 9.1% 21.5% 52.0%
Matthew Miranda 3.0% 3.7% 3.3% 4.2% 6.9% 7.5% 9.7% 13.7% 17.3% 16.8% 10.9% 3.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.