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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.86+5.17vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.07+4.19vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.90+2.16vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+3.65vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.44+3.39vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.40-1.50vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University0.18+4.29vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68-1.57vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College1.87-3.01vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.37+0.61vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.92-5.61vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University0.75-2.59vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.34-2.06vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.31-3.40vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont-0.13-3.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.17Yale University1.868.7%1st Place
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6.19Bowdoin College2.078.2%1st Place
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5.16Harvard University1.9013.3%1st Place
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7.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.605.8%1st Place
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8.39Tufts University1.445.1%1st Place
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4.5Boston College2.4016.9%1st Place
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11.29Salve Regina University0.181.8%1st Place
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6.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.688.6%1st Place
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5.99Dartmouth College1.879.0%1st Place
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10.61Boston University0.372.2%1st Place
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5.39Brown University1.9211.4%1st Place
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9.41Roger Williams University0.753.4%1st Place
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10.94Connecticut College0.341.6%1st Place
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10.6Northeastern University0.311.8%1st Place
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11.27University of Vermont-0.132.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Grimes | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Burn | 13.3% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emma Snead | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Chloe Holder | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 3.0% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 16.9% | 15.4% | 13.8% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 16.2% | 22.1% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Gray Hemans | 9.0% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 14.4% |
| Caroline Bayless | 11.4% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 5.8% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 15.2% | 16.7% |
| Adeline Schoen | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 14.8% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 18.4% | 20.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.