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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.87+5.01vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.40+2.53vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+4.67vs Predicted
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4Yale University1.86+1.99vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.92+0.38vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.44+2.36vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.07-0.74vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.37+2.59vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68-2.57vs Predicted
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10Harvard University1.90-4.99vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University0.75-1.53vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.31-1.28vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.34-2.13vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.18-2.60vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont-0.13-3.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.01Dartmouth College1.879.6%1st Place
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4.53Boston College2.4016.4%1st Place
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7.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.605.8%1st Place
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5.99Yale University1.868.8%1st Place
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5.38Brown University1.9210.5%1st Place
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8.36Tufts University1.444.2%1st Place
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6.26Bowdoin College2.078.1%1st Place
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10.59Boston University0.372.5%1st Place
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6.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.689.1%1st Place
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5.01Harvard University1.9014.1%1st Place
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9.47Roger Williams University0.753.2%1st Place
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10.72Northeastern University0.312.4%1st Place
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10.87Connecticut College0.341.9%1st Place
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11.4Salve Regina University0.181.7%1st Place
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11.32University of Vermont-0.131.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gray Hemans | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 16.4% | 14.9% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Snead | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Megan Grimes | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Bayless | 10.5% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Chloe Holder | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 3.6% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 14.5% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Burn | 14.1% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 5.3% |
| Adeline Schoen | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 14.9% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 16.6% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 17.9% | 22.4% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 15.8% | 19.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.