Race 6A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Kayla Ellis 12.4% 13.7% 12.1% 14.9% 13.8% 12.4% 9.0% 6.4% 3.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick 26.9% 24.1% 17.5% 11.5% 9.1% 5.9% 3.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Morrison 14.4% 13.7% 13.9% 12.9% 13.8% 11.5% 10.0% 6.4% 2.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Becker Awqatty 10.0% 13.7% 13.8% 13.9% 13.0% 11.4% 10.0% 7.4% 3.8% 2.5% 0.4% 0.1%
Lewis Fowler-Gerace 3.7% 4.8% 4.8% 6.6% 8.7% 9.0% 12.4% 13.1% 13.8% 13.3% 7.9% 1.9%
Scott Booth 12.6% 10.8% 13.0% 14.7% 12.9% 12.3% 9.3% 8.0% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Solomon Krevans 10.5% 8.5% 11.0% 12.5% 11.4% 12.5% 10.9% 10.8% 6.3% 4.1% 1.3% 0.2%
Ryan Novak-Smith 2.3% 4.2% 4.1% 3.6% 5.1% 6.3% 9.6% 11.6% 16.9% 17.3% 13.5% 5.5%
Paige Fagan 1.9% 1.6% 2.7% 2.6% 4.1% 6.8% 8.9% 12.2% 17.0% 19.5% 15.7% 7.0%
Matthew Miranda 3.5% 3.2% 5.1% 5.0% 4.5% 8.0% 10.1% 14.7% 18.0% 13.9% 10.3% 3.7%
Kate Andrews 1.3% 1.0% 1.0% 0.8% 2.6% 1.9% 3.4% 4.7% 9.0% 15.4% 26.5% 32.4%
David Tampellini 0.5% 0.7% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 3.6% 4.8% 10.2% 23.0% 49.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.