Race 7A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick 28.1% 21.4% 18.3% 13.0% 7.2% 5.9% 3.3% 1.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Becker Awqatty 10.6% 13.4% 12.2% 14.2% 11.3% 12.3% 9.8% 7.9% 4.8% 2.8% 0.7% 0.0%
Kayla Ellis 12.9% 12.2% 14.7% 12.5% 12.7% 12.5% 10.1% 6.7% 3.8% 1.1% 0.8% 0.0%
Ryan Morrison 13.2% 15.9% 12.9% 13.3% 13.1% 9.7% 9.5% 6.7% 3.5% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Sam Gates 7.0% 8.5% 10.2% 9.1% 9.7% 13.1% 9.8% 12.1% 10.8% 6.4% 2.6% 0.7%
Christopher Jensen 9.8% 9.9% 10.7% 9.5% 13.3% 10.8% 13.1% 10.6% 7.0% 4.3% 0.8% 0.2%
David Tampellini 1.1% 0.8% 0.8% 0.6% 1.2% 2.1% 2.7% 3.1% 5.9% 9.9% 22.0% 49.8%
Kate Andrews 0.7% 0.8% 1.5% 1.9% 2.6% 2.8% 3.5% 5.0% 7.2% 12.9% 28.6% 32.5%
Ryan Novak-Smith 2.0% 2.8% 3.1% 3.5% 5.6% 7.2% 8.1% 13.1% 16.7% 18.5% 14.7% 4.7%
Paige Fagan 2.0% 3.0% 2.7% 3.3% 4.2% 4.2% 6.4% 9.8% 13.4% 21.8% 20.2% 9.0%
Lewis Fowler-Gerace 3.6% 3.9% 4.5% 6.9% 6.4% 8.0% 11.2% 12.7% 17.3% 15.0% 7.8% 2.7%
Mark Gargula 9.0% 7.4% 8.4% 12.2% 12.7% 11.4% 12.5% 10.5% 8.8% 5.3% 1.4% 0.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.