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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.92+4.64vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.86+4.13vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+3.39vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.31+6.83vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.90+0.26vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont-0.13+5.57vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.07-0.58vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.40-3.32vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-1.22vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.37+0.87vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University0.18+0.49vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University0.75-2.51vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.83-4.06vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.44-5.46vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College1.87-9.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.64Brown University1.9210.4%1st Place
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6.13Yale University1.868.7%1st Place
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6.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.688.3%1st Place
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10.83Northeastern University0.311.9%1st Place
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5.26Harvard University1.9013.1%1st Place
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11.57University of Vermont-0.131.3%1st Place
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6.42Bowdoin College2.079.8%1st Place
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4.68Boston College2.4015.7%1st Place
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7.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.605.6%1st Place
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10.87Boston University0.372.3%1st Place
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11.49Salve Regina University0.181.4%1st Place
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9.49Roger Williams University0.753.4%1st Place
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8.94Connecticut College0.833.6%1st Place
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8.54Tufts University1.444.0%1st Place
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5.97Dartmouth College1.8710.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Bayless | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Megan Grimes | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Adeline Schoen | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 16.2% | 15.8% |
| Sarah Burn | 13.1% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 16.2% | 24.6% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 15.7% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emma Snead | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 14.3% | 17.4% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 16.2% | 23.1% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 7.1% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 4.8% |
| Chloe Holder | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.6% |
| Gray Hemans | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.