Race 8A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Kayla Ellis 11.9% 12.8% 12.1% 14.0% 14.5% 11.0% 9.0% 8.4% 3.4% 2.2% 0.4% 0.3%
Ryan Morrison 13.0% 14.1% 15.0% 14.4% 12.8% 10.0% 9.0% 6.0% 4.1% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Sam Gates 8.3% 7.0% 8.8% 10.0% 9.9% 12.3% 11.4% 13.8% 11.1% 5.4% 1.7% 0.3%
Becker Awqatty 10.8% 11.6% 13.2% 13.0% 11.3% 13.0% 9.8% 7.1% 6.5% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1%
Christopher Jensen 8.6% 10.0% 12.3% 9.7% 13.8% 11.6% 11.2% 9.8% 6.3% 5.0% 1.3% 0.4%
Lewis Fowler-Gerace 4.2% 4.3% 5.8% 6.2% 7.0% 7.6% 12.0% 12.5% 15.9% 13.7% 8.7% 2.1%
Kate Andrews 1.4% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 1.7% 2.2% 3.1% 5.5% 7.1% 15.3% 28.0% 31.2%
Mark Gargula 9.5% 9.8% 9.6% 10.4% 11.1% 11.0% 12.3% 11.2% 8.2% 4.7% 1.8% 0.4%
Ryan Novak-Smith 2.0% 2.5% 3.2% 4.7% 4.7% 7.3% 9.6% 11.6% 17.7% 17.9% 14.8% 4.0%
Paige Fagan 2.2% 2.8% 2.6% 3.5% 2.3% 5.8% 7.1% 9.6% 13.7% 21.6% 19.3% 9.5%
David Tampellini 1.0% 0.5% 0.9% 0.7% 0.9% 1.4% 1.5% 3.3% 5.5% 9.3% 23.3% 51.7%
Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick 27.1% 23.6% 15.0% 11.4% 10.0% 6.8% 4.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.