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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.48+3.83vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.29+3.21vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.67+1.31vs Predicted
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4Wesleyan University1.45+3.20vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-0.48vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.15-0.48vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.38-4.08vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.05-2.31vs Predicted
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9Sacred Heart University-0.43+1.67vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.00-1.86vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire0.76-2.20vs Predicted
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12McGill University-0.05-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.83Northeastern University2.480.1%1st Place
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5.21Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
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4.31Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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7.2Wesleyan University1.450.0%1st Place
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4.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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5.52Roger Williams University2.150.1%1st Place
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2.92Brown University3.380.3%1st Place
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5.69Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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10.67Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
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8.14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.000.0%1st Place
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8.8University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
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10.19McGill University-0.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Becker Awqatty | 11.3% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Jensen | 8.7% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Morrison | 13.6% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 7.0% | 1.9% |
| Kayla Ellis | 11.8% | 14.1% | 14.7% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Mark Gargula | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 29.3% | 21.6% | 16.2% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Gates | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| David Tampellini | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 23.2% | 48.2% |
| Ryan Novak-Smith | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 16.4% | 19.6% | 14.2% | 5.6% |
| Paige Fagan | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 15.0% | 21.1% | 19.3% | 10.6% |
| Kate Andrews | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 7.4% | 16.0% | 29.0% | 32.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.