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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.07+5.27vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.40+2.41vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.86+2.90vs Predicted
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4Harvard University1.90+1.18vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont-0.13+5.98vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.92-0.73vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68-0.62vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.31+2.43vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.44-0.70vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University0.75-0.64vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College1.87-5.07vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.83-3.36vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-5.35vs Predicted
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14Boston University0.37-3.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.27Bowdoin College2.078.0%1st Place
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4.41Boston College2.4018.4%1st Place
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5.9Yale University1.869.0%1st Place
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5.18Harvard University1.9012.0%1st Place
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10.98University of Vermont-0.131.7%1st Place
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5.27Brown University1.9212.8%1st Place
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6.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.688.0%1st Place
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10.43Northeastern University0.311.8%1st Place
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8.3Tufts University1.445.0%1st Place
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9.36Roger Williams University0.753.2%1st Place
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5.93Dartmouth College1.878.9%1st Place
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8.64Connecticut College0.833.6%1st Place
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7.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.604.8%1st Place
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10.3Boston University0.372.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 18.4% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Megan Grimes | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Burn | 12.0% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 17.6% | 29.9% |
| Caroline Bayless | 12.8% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Adeline Schoen | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 12.7% | 16.8% | 21.3% |
| Chloe Holder | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 5.8% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 10.2% |
| Gray Hemans | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 6.8% |
| Emma Snead | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 2.9% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 16.6% | 20.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.