Race 10A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Christopher Jensen 8.7% 9.5% 10.4% 11.6% 11.3% 13.6% 12.0% 10.4% 7.0% 3.8% 1.7% 0.0%
Sam Gates 6.5% 7.6% 9.6% 9.5% 12.3% 10.7% 13.0% 12.1% 11.2% 4.8% 2.5% 0.2%
Becker Awqatty 12.3% 10.7% 12.6% 11.8% 12.8% 13.4% 10.3% 8.2% 4.7% 2.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick 26.3% 24.3% 16.6% 13.0% 8.9% 4.9% 3.6% 1.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Ryan Morrison 13.6% 14.4% 14.5% 13.5% 12.9% 9.9% 8.8% 5.2% 4.8% 1.8% 0.6% 0.0%
Kayla Ellis 13.4% 13.1% 13.0% 13.4% 12.4% 11.7% 9.4% 6.9% 4.1% 2.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Mark Gargula 8.7% 8.5% 10.0% 12.0% 11.0% 10.9% 10.8% 12.2% 8.6% 4.5% 2.3% 0.5%
Lewis Fowler-Gerace 4.6% 4.7% 5.1% 7.1% 7.1% 8.5% 10.7% 13.9% 16.0% 12.4% 7.6% 2.3%
Paige Fagan 1.6% 1.6% 2.7% 2.5% 3.4% 6.8% 8.3% 9.9% 15.6% 22.2% 17.8% 7.6%
Ryan Novak-Smith 2.7% 4.0% 3.4% 3.8% 5.1% 5.7% 7.8% 12.1% 15.4% 20.7% 13.8% 5.5%
Kate Andrews 1.1% 0.8% 1.2% 1.0% 1.6% 2.2% 3.2% 4.7% 6.6% 15.0% 29.3% 33.3%
David Tampellini 0.5% 0.8% 0.9% 0.8% 1.2% 1.7% 2.1% 2.7% 5.4% 9.5% 23.8% 50.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.