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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.07+5.52vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University0.75+7.85vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.92+2.31vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College0.83+5.22vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.90+0.51vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.44+2.82vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68-0.26vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+0.10vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College1.87-2.86vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.40-5.19vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University0.31-0.09vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont-0.13-0.46vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.37-2.21vs Predicted
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14Yale University1.86-7.71vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.97-5.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.52Bowdoin College2.078.3%1st Place
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9.85Roger Williams University0.752.9%1st Place
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5.31Brown University1.9212.2%1st Place
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9.22Connecticut College0.833.2%1st Place
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5.51Harvard University1.9012.0%1st Place
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8.82Tufts University1.443.7%1st Place
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6.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.688.1%1st Place
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8.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.605.6%1st Place
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6.14Dartmouth College1.879.2%1st Place
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4.81Boston College2.4014.8%1st Place
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10.91Northeastern University0.312.1%1st Place
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11.54University of Vermont-0.131.9%1st Place
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10.79Boston University0.372.2%1st Place
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6.29Yale University1.869.8%1st Place
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9.45Salve Regina University0.973.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 9.3% |
| Caroline Bayless | 12.2% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% |
| Sarah Burn | 12.0% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Chloe Holder | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 4.2% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Emma Snead | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
| Gray Hemans | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 14.8% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Adeline Schoen | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 15.0% | 19.2% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 16.4% | 29.5% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 15.3% | 18.9% |
| Megan Grimes | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.