Race 1B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Luke Orchardo 12.9% 12.8% 13.0% 13.8% 14.7% 14.2% 9.2% 7.0% 2.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacob Martz 21.9% 20.9% 16.1% 15.3% 10.6% 8.1% 5.4% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Christina Frost 16.6% 14.8% 16.2% 13.2% 12.7% 12.9% 9.1% 3.8% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Riley Eger 11.7% 13.0% 13.7% 14.7% 13.4% 12.1% 11.2% 7.1% 2.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Macklin Fluehr 15.8% 16.9% 16.0% 14.0% 13.6% 10.8% 7.0% 3.8% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Pierre DuPont 10.5% 10.9% 11.4% 12.4% 13.5% 13.8% 13.4% 9.6% 3.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Joseph Dragon 6.1% 5.9% 7.3% 8.7% 10.4% 11.7% 17.3% 16.4% 9.7% 4.8% 1.3% 0.4%
Earl Lin 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 1.2% 2.3% 3.6% 6.8% 8.7% 14.0% 18.0% 43.6%
Alison Deyett 0.8% 1.0% 1.3% 1.2% 1.2% 3.6% 5.4% 11.7% 16.8% 20.6% 22.5% 13.9%
Thomas Erwes 0.6% 0.9% 2.1% 2.4% 2.8% 2.5% 5.1% 9.4% 17.7% 22.2% 20.2% 14.1%
Hayden Maguire 1.9% 1.4% 1.7% 2.5% 4.0% 5.6% 9.3% 15.3% 21.4% 18.3% 12.0% 6.6%
John Secor 0.8% 1.0% 0.7% 1.4% 1.9% 2.4% 4.0% 7.6% 15.6% 17.6% 25.6% 21.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.