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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.10+4.36vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.40+2.96vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.90+2.46vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+4.00vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College0.83+4.36vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.07+0.54vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.86-0.57vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.92-2.45vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University0.75+0.68vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68-3.27vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.44-2.33vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.31-1.01vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.37-1.91vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.97-4.43vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont-0.13-3.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.36Dartmouth College2.1013.5%1st Place
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4.96Boston College2.4014.5%1st Place
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5.46Harvard University1.9013.1%1st Place
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8.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.605.5%1st Place
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9.36Connecticut College0.832.9%1st Place
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6.54Bowdoin College2.077.6%1st Place
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6.43Yale University1.868.2%1st Place
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5.55Brown University1.9211.2%1st Place
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9.68Roger Williams University0.752.9%1st Place
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6.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.687.5%1st Place
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8.67Tufts University1.445.1%1st Place
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10.99Northeastern University0.312.1%1st Place
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11.09Boston University0.371.7%1st Place
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9.57Salve Regina University0.972.5%1st Place
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11.6University of Vermont-0.131.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Young | 13.5% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 14.5% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 13.1% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emma Snead | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 7.2% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Megan Grimes | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Caroline Bayless | 11.2% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 7.8% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Chloe Holder | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% |
| Adeline Schoen | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 12.8% | 17.4% | 18.6% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 16.0% | 21.3% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.5% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 16.4% | 26.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.