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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.07+5.55vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.40+2.80vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.90+2.51vs Predicted
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4Yale University1.86+2.27vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+3.07vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.10-0.41vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.83+2.22vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.97+1.62vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.37+1.96vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68-3.28vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.92-5.38vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont-0.13-0.38vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.44-4.37vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University0.75-4.31vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.31-3.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.55Bowdoin College2.077.8%1st Place
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4.8Boston College2.4014.2%1st Place
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5.51Harvard University1.9011.7%1st Place
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6.27Yale University1.869.7%1st Place
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8.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.605.5%1st Place
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5.59Dartmouth College2.1011.9%1st Place
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9.22Connecticut College0.833.8%1st Place
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9.62Salve Regina University0.973.5%1st Place
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10.96Boston University0.372.3%1st Place
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6.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.688.1%1st Place
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5.62Brown University1.9211.2%1st Place
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11.62University of Vermont-0.131.6%1st Place
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8.63Tufts University1.444.3%1st Place
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9.69Roger Williams University0.753.0%1st Place
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11.12Northeastern University0.311.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 14.2% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 11.7% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Megan Grimes | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Emma Snead | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| Sarah Young | 11.9% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 5.7% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.0% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 17.0% | 18.8% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Caroline Bayless | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 15.8% | 27.3% |
| Chloe Holder | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 4.2% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 9.5% |
| Adeline Schoen | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 16.8% | 21.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.