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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.59+2.30vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26+1.90vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.16+3.10vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.06+0.30vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.97-0.57vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.28-2.14vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.81-2.27vs Predicted
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8McGill University-0.51+1.32vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University0.04-1.65vs Predicted
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11Wesleyan University-1.20-0.59vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-0.53-2.51vs Predicted
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13Sacred Heart University-0.74-3.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.3Boston College2.590.2%1st Place
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3.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.1%1st Place
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6.1Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.160.1%1st Place
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4.3Northeastern University2.060.1%1st Place
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4.43Roger Williams University1.970.1%1st Place
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3.86Brown University2.280.2%1st Place
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4.73Tufts University1.810.1%1st Place
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9.32McGill University-0.510.0%1st Place
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8.35Salve Regina University0.040.0%1st Place
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10.41Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
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9.49University of New Hampshire-0.530.0%1st Place
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9.8Sacred Heart University-0.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Martz | 22.0% | 18.6% | 18.9% | 14.5% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christina Frost | 15.0% | 18.4% | 13.2% | 16.3% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Dragon | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 19.3% | 18.7% | 9.1% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Luke Orchardo | 12.0% | 14.7% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 15.5% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Eger | 12.1% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Macklin Fluehr | 15.7% | 16.2% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pierre DuPont | 12.3% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 14.6% | 13.2% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Erwes | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 20.6% | 22.4% | 14.3% |
| Hayden Maguire | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 10.8% | 16.2% | 23.5% | 16.2% | 12.0% | 4.1% |
| Earl Lin | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 9.3% | 15.2% | 19.7% | 41.6% |
| Alison Deyett | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 5.6% | 9.9% | 16.0% | 22.2% | 20.8% | 16.7% |
| John Secor | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 7.6% | 15.1% | 19.1% | 23.5% | 22.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.