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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.97+3.77vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.59+1.44vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26+1.10vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.81+1.06vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.06-0.49vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.44-0.10vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.28-3.03vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.16-1.62vs Predicted
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10McGill University-0.51-0.39vs Predicted
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11Wesleyan University-1.20-0.43vs Predicted
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12Sacred Heart University-0.74-1.99vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-0.53-3.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.77Roger Williams University1.970.1%1st Place
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3.44Boston College2.590.2%1st Place
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4.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.2%1st Place
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5.06Tufts University1.810.1%1st Place
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4.51Northeastern University2.060.1%1st Place
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5.9Salve Regina University1.440.1%1st Place
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3.97Brown University2.280.2%1st Place
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6.38Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.160.1%1st Place
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9.61McGill University-0.510.0%1st Place
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10.57Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
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10.01Sacred Heart University-0.740.0%1st Place
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9.67University of New Hampshire-0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Eger | 10.9% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Martz | 20.4% | 20.7% | 14.6% | 16.4% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christina Frost | 15.7% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pierre DuPont | 8.5% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Luke Orchardo | 11.9% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Root | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 14.7% | 17.4% | 10.2% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Macklin Fluehr | 16.9% | 14.5% | 15.9% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Dragon | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 19.4% | 14.0% | 6.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Thomas Erwes | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 8.0% | 17.9% | 23.7% | 24.2% | 14.6% |
| Earl Lin | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 9.0% | 15.1% | 23.3% | 42.4% |
| John Secor | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 6.1% | 11.7% | 22.8% | 24.9% | 25.0% |
| Alison Deyett | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 17.5% | 22.7% | 24.5% | 17.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.