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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.86+4.88vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.44+6.24vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+4.63vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.87+1.82vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.90+0.25vs Predicted
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6Boston University0.37+4.21vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68-0.66vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.40-3.54vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University0.75+0.30vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.92-4.79vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.07-4.72vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont-0.13-1.08vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.83-4.26vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.15-3.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.88Yale University1.869.6%1st Place
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8.24Tufts University1.444.5%1st Place
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7.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.605.4%1st Place
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5.82Dartmouth College1.879.8%1st Place
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5.25Harvard University1.9012.2%1st Place
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10.21Boston University0.372.5%1st Place
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6.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.688.0%1st Place
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4.46Boston College2.4015.6%1st Place
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9.3Roger Williams University0.752.6%1st Place
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5.21Brown University1.9213.9%1st Place
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6.28Bowdoin College2.078.8%1st Place
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10.92University of Vermont-0.131.6%1st Place
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8.74Connecticut College0.833.5%1st Place
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10.71Northeastern University0.151.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Megan Grimes | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
Chloe Holder | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 4.0% |
Emma Snead | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 3.0% |
Gray Hemans | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
Sarah Burn | 12.2% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Lucy Paskoff | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 17.4% | 17.8% |
Kaila Pfrang | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
Michaela O'Brien | 15.6% | 15.7% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Michaela ODonnell | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 10.7% |
Caroline Bayless | 13.9% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
Elizabeth Kaplan | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 17.7% | 29.8% |
AnaLucia Clarkson | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 6.8% |
Lauren Krim | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 18.6% | 25.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.