← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Virginia Tech0.97+0.79vs Predicted
-
2American University-0.86+2.09vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15+0.19vs Predicted
-
4Penn State University-0.91+0.44vs Predicted
-
5University of Maryland-0.85-0.86vs Predicted
-
6Catholic University of America-1.92+0.07vs Predicted
-
7William and Mary-1.76-1.22vs Predicted
-
8University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.36-1.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.79Virginia Tech0.9751.5%1st Place
-
4.09American University-0.869.2%1st Place
-
3.19U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.1515.6%1st Place
-
4.44Penn State University-0.917.1%1st Place
-
4.14University of Maryland-0.858.4%1st Place
-
6.07Catholic University of America-1.922.7%1st Place
-
5.78William and Mary-1.763.3%1st Place
-
6.5University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.362.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Bender | 51.5% | 27.8% | 13.5% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 9.2% | 13.4% | 16.4% | 17.9% | 19.2% | 13.3% | 7.9% | 2.6% |
| Langdon Wallace | 15.6% | 22.6% | 22.8% | 17.9% | 12.4% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Erich Laughlin | 7.1% | 10.2% | 15.4% | 17.5% | 17.0% | 17.8% | 10.4% | 4.5% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 8.4% | 14.2% | 15.4% | 18.4% | 18.8% | 13.9% | 7.8% | 3.2% |
| Christian Aron | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 17.2% | 24.2% | 27.3% |
| Sebastian Morales-Talero | 3.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 18.1% | 24.5% | 20.6% |
| Grace Hartman | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 13.4% | 22.6% | 41.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.